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0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

Iran Vol. $466,480 50 traders

July 314%
July 140%
July 70%
June 300%
$466,480 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

4
Chance
June 30 Resolved
0%
July 7 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 14 Resolved
0% ▼ 2
July 31
4% ▼ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY No $200.00 48m ago
  • 0x2549…74f7 BUY No $266.57 57m ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.98 1h ago
  • 0x9e1c…e801 BUY Yes $12.00 1h ago
  • 0xca16…f878 BUY Yes $15.05 3h ago
  • 0x2d62…0a41 BUY Yes $3.91 3h ago
  • 0x7781…3f50 BUY No $45.12 4h ago
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY No $500.00 6h ago
  • 0x66c1…2c72 BUY Yes $0.40 6h ago
  • 0xa86a…ac07 BUY No $5.23 8h ago
  • 0x2574…144b SELL Yes $7.60 8h ago
  • 0x19e0…67a1 BUY No $3.05 10h ago
  • 0x914b…e406 BUY No $48.05 12h ago
  • 0x3874…7c02 BUY Yes $16.00 12h ago
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY No $500.00 14h ago
  • 0xf600…8836 BUY No $4.74 15h ago
  • 0x3c6f…b00f SELL Yes $1.63 16h ago
  • 0x5730…524f BUY No $1.81 17h ago
  • 0x4b9b…7a9f SELL Yes $0.60 17h ago
  • 0xb87f…f7d4 BUY Yes $2.94 17h ago
  • 0x0711…f03c BUY Yes $3.45 17h ago
  • 0x853c…bd03 BUY Yes $40.98 18h ago
  • 0xb2a3…79e0 BUY Yes $21.78 19h ago
  • 0xb2a3…79e0 BUY Yes $13.86 19h ago
  • 0x2029…3124 SELL No $50.08 20h ago
  • 0x5de7…540c BUY No $62.10 Jul 21
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $354.16 Jul 21
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY No $2000.00 Jul 21
  • 0xd2cb…43ee BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $104.58 Jul 21
  • 0xfb64…c2ab SELL Yes $0.16 Jul 21
  • 0xe172…e8e0 SELL No $118.81 Jul 21
  • 0x7ed1…3363 BUY No $100.00 Jul 21
  • 0x3eae…e2ed BUY No $1255.04 Jul 21
  • 0xb465…f139 SELL No $1.53 Jul 20
  • 0xb465…f139 BUY No $1.59 Jul 20
  • 0x58f1…7032 SELL No $24.12 Jul 20
  • 0xfb64…c2ab BUY Yes $1.94 Jul 20
  • 0x9bb3…699c SELL No $112.42 Jul 20
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $29.00 Jul 20

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No." Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication. If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF PortWatch differs from alternative sources. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying except in the case of data integrity issues. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Comments

numb Jul 27

The PortWatch data hasn't been updated since July 19th. Where will the data for calculating this market's results come from?

ragutwo Jul 27

Tomorrow around 8 AM ET

numb Jul 27

Do they give stats on Tuesdays? Or why specifically tomorrow at this time?

ragutwo Jul 27

tomorrow they publish data on each day until Sunday, July 26th. btw good bet, it's not guaranteed but there is a good chance you win

numb Jul 27

ty bro i also love it since very begging even till now. gl!

Goopster 17h ago

Updates every Tuesday about 9am Eastern US time and covers the period up to about two days before the update.

NoSteinNoGate 17h ago

Wait, did it update already, its only until the 23rd July

Onswaggie Jul 13

At 5 p.m. ET today, U.S. Central Command forces began launching more strikes against Iran to continue degrading their ability to attack civilian mariners and commercial ships freely transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The Commander in Chief has directed the strikes to hold Iranian forces accountable.

yungsoleimani Jul 8

Sorry i dont make the rules i just collect the money

BrightStars Jul 8

you misunderstand as always

yungsoleimani Jul 8

you just a little kid man

yungsoleimani Jul 8

Yopp