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Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

Oil Vol. $293,626 50 traders

0-2098%
40-601%
20-402%
60-800%
$293,626 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
0-20
98% ▲ 3
20-40
2% ▼ 2
40-60
<1%
60-80
<1%
80+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $0.42 2h ago
  • 0x25db…28de SELL Yes $1.96 2h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $0.80 2h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.30 2h ago
  • 0xe581…9f7d SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0x176e…19a5 SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0x55a6…e7a2 SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0x31bb…ed19 SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0x5cbb…74a2 SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0xba68…dc3a SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0x1cf3…308c SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0xca4b…86e7 SELL Yes $0.98 2h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $0.80 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.01 3h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $8.63 3h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $8.66 3h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.19 3h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $8.54 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $1.01 3h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $8.66 3h ago
  • 0x4278…4837 SELL Yes $0.99 3h ago
  • 0x31bb…ed19 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x5cbb…74a2 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xe581…9f7d BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x4278…4837 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x176e…19a5 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x1cf3…308c BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xba68…dc3a BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xca4b…86e7 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x55a6…e7a2 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $0.15 3h ago
  • 0x4835…8abb SELL No $24.97 3h ago
  • 0x4835…8abb BUY No $25.00 3h ago
  • 0xa7ec…e964 SELL Yes $5.20 4h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b BUY Yes $213.78 5h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.01 7h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $2.58 7h ago
  • 0x1733…9411 SELL No $2279.95 12h ago
  • 0xc3a2…c3ec BUY No $2.10 19h ago
  • 0x26b9…84cf BUY No $2.10 19h ago

This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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