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Chance
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
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Outcomes
89Kylian Mbappé
11%
▲ 1
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Lamine Yamal
24%
▼ 1
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Harry Kane
46%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Other
0%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Lionel Messi
4%
▲ 1
Rodri
10%
▼ 1
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Gavi
0%
W
0%
X
0%
Y
0%
Z
0%
AA
0%
AB
0%
AC
0%
AD
0%
AE
0%
AF
0%
AG
0%
AH
0%
AI
0%
AJ
0%
AK
0%
AL
0%
AM
0%
AN
0%
AO
0%
AP
0%
AQ
0%
AR
0%
AS
0%
AT
0%
AU
0%
AV
0%
AW
0%
AX
0%
AY
0%
AZ
0%
BA
0%
BB
0%
BC
0%
BD
0%
BE
0%
BF
0%
BG
0%
BH
0%
BI
0%
BJ
0%
BK
0%
BL
0%
BM
0%
BN
0%
BO
0%
BP
0%
BQ
0%
BR
0%
BS
0%
BT
0%
BU
0%
BV
0%
BW
0%
BX
0%
BY
0%
BZ
0%
Recent trades
40- 0x6f2a…9551 BUY No $1.88 6m ago
- 0x227b…76f9 BUY No $2.09 9m ago
- 0xc14e…e0ab SELL No $8.86 25m ago
- 0xf904…651f SELL Yes $24.40 26m ago
- 0x4e1a…947c SELL Yes $97.60 27m ago
- 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY Yes $1.03 44m ago
- 0x90d4…c7c8 SELL Yes $1.09 45m ago
- 0x1869…5a0d SELL Yes $2.54 50m ago
- 0xc14e…e0ab BUY No $8.86 54m ago
- 0xfa2b…9881 BUY Yes $5.00 1h ago
- 0xfa2b…9881 BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
- 0x67c0…58ad BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
- 0x3bbb…8e88 SELL No $59.86 1h ago
- 0xbe1d…3c6e SELL No $8444.13 1h ago
- 0x5253…c24b SELL Yes $1.08 1h ago
- 0x7449…c05e SELL No $0.90 1h ago
- 0x5253…c24b BUY Yes $1.12 1h ago
- 0x7449…c05e SELL No $2.17 1h ago
- 0x6f2a…9551 SELL No $0.55 1h ago
- 0x9e1c…e801 BUY Yes $100.00 1h ago
- 0x260d…7aad BUY Yes $4.80 2h ago
- 0x3905…9bbf BUY No $6.59 2h ago
- 0x2b80…7382 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
- 0x2b80…7382 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
- 0x70d5…cd26 SELL No $33.83 2h ago
- 0xe0ab…d374 BUY Yes $9.36 2h ago
- 0x0724…431d BUY No $1.05 2h ago
- 0xc31c…5b4f SELL Yes $3.31 2h ago
- 0xb68b…f271 SELL Yes $70.02 3h ago
- 0x7934…b62f SELL Yes $18.21 3h ago
- 0x59b7…ad26 BUY Yes $5.00 3h ago
- 0x59b7…ad26 BUY Yes $5.00 3h ago
- 0x70d5…cd26 BUY No $33.86 3h ago
- 0xbead…59a4 SELL No $5.29 3h ago
- 0x9601…a62c BUY Yes $2.59 3h ago
- 0x7506…cd08 SELL Yes $1.41 3h ago
- 0xc3cd…816c SELL No $296.10 3h ago
- 0x1b08…2946 SELL No $4.58 4h ago
- 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY Yes $1.86 4h ago
- 0x90d4…c7c8 SELL Yes $3.38 4h ago
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Comments
People are underestimating Rodri, but just remember that 4 years ago Messi won the WC prize and the Ballon D'Or. And journalists love Rodri... :)
To be honest Ballon D'or is rigged year after year, general consensus almost always wrong where there's tight competition, the consensus now is Kane, that's why I doubt he win it, Yamal or Mbappe might "steal" it. Looking at the price here, Hary Kane is overprice, Yamal is about fair price, and Mbappe is very underprice. You know where the money is made. My money is on Mbappe with a potential 10x+ gain.
Mbappe should Go up soon, HK Go down
Hary Kane overprice,
Yes Mbappe King
Who currently bets on HK will outright lose on 26.10
people put in trust in HK without any details only goals
Becsuse they don’t know anything about Football
In the next 20 Years to come Football will not come Home to Ingerland in Form of any international title like WC,EC or Ballon D Or excluding Champions League
Guys if you question the odds of HK you are the brave ones, the smart ones. I have a 99% feeling he will Not win.
Then all in HK's NO
I guess you are suffering about your loss in the NO position
It is not realized
I guess people love Soccer and Ingerland too much here
how tf is lamine 25 and rodri 10
People are getting Crazy
So you HK bettors think Lamine and Rodri are already out and only Mbappe might be competitive? Don’t be too happy for top Long.
Everyone betting on HK to win you gonna be Losers Mark my words
Give solid reasons no shitty arguments, you didn’t provided any solid reasons for hk not to win this award, L thirdworlder
for real
Scoring the most goale in Bundesliga while not winning a major title without being a Superstar will not suffice.
Ballon d'Or criteria isn't an Instagram popularity contest. France Football values individual stats and consistency first, and Kane leads both. Winning a major title is not a strict requirement for individual merit.
I suggest all the pro HK bettors to search for a good therapist in advance. Losing all can be tough.
I dont understand the odds on Kane to be such a clear favorite. Olise has had at least a similar year to Kane. Crazy stats domestic and UCL + record assists in world cup. Kane scores a lot but domestic he also scored 10 pens. In CL 4 pens. Mbappe was topscorer in CL and world cup. Difference is Real not winning anything but the German title has no meaning. They win 95% of times. So no idea who wins but 40%+ on Kane for me is just British hope. After all most money is bet in the UK because of their betting tradition. Anyway laying Kane since these odds are ridiculous to me.
Nice someone with Balls showing up
For anyone who value individual performance, it's clear only Kane or Mbappe deserves it. For those who vote for Kane, the argument is second best goal scoring off all time behind Messi. But if you break down the goal, most of them are on Bundesliga (farmer league), and in competition where Mbappe and Kane both played, Mbappe always score more than Kane, and it says something. For me the fair odds for mbappe should be at level with Kane, now looking at the odds here, this is where odds edges found. Kane for around 2x gains here, and Mbappe for under 9c/share for 10x++ gain? I'll take that bet every single day. Please keep the price low for sometime so I can accumulate more.
Mbappe score more than Kane in UCL and worldcup.
Mbappe has not won any titles with either club or national team, and that is a disadvantage. But he is the first player in history to win the league, Champions League, and World Cup golden boots in a single season. I still think Kane has a strong chance. 73 goals in a calendar year is massive — and sure, the domestic treble with Bayern isn't as prestigious as the Champions League, but reaching the World Cup semifinals is still England's best result in decades.
I agree Kane also has a good chance, I'm just pointing that comparing to Kane's price now, Mbappe is very underpriced, that's how we make money, we search for edges in the market.
But who cares? France also reached semis? The draw favored England too facing Congo, Mexico and Norway. German title is meaningless. Anyway Kane is only favored like this because he is English. If Kane would have been French and Mbappe British it would have been the other way around. Noone should be above 30%
it's either mbappe or kane, idk why yamal and rodri are priced that high
If few high networth individuals think HK will win the odds will be skewed against the ones who don’t have so much Capital. Fortunately this is Not the case for the Journalists who vote. After all that has gone down I am more convinced now that HK will Not make it at the end
Just took a Look at the positions book. There is a very high liquidity trader or bot who every Hour Buys no shares on anyone besides HK. This is why the odds are so skewed. Sure Hak could win but not at a 50% probality with all the headwinds
mbappe at 10% is undervalued considering him breaking the wc goal record
Yes Mbappe is undervalued and HK overvalued given that MB will likely outperfornm Hk
Either this market is purposefully influenced and soon within hours HK will fall to 25 and then go up again or you seriously see him at 50% and on 27.10 you will say we knew he would not make it or he narrowly wins and many other parties will be shocked like how can an almost Anti technical Player win.
kane is winning kid stop crying because u bet ur life savings on him
I bet peanuts against him and he is Not winning neither if he is Not voters for. Odds Are even still higher hes gonna lose despite being oversold. But Messi could well make it though
"peanuts" and your biggest win is 100$, just admit youre downbad kid
Ok I own a lot of money. How can I prove it to you? Do You have discord or anything.
Is Harry Kane the Kamala Harris of Football? Do they try to sell us with all power that he is the Ballon D Or Winner? And will the Outsiders overcome the Burden and make it as Trump did in 2024?
Yamal should have scored in the final and there wouldn't be any further conversation..
Yes but since he didn’t Messi Mbappe and Co are on the Agenda
Imo they will try to push kane because of the fact how many goals he's scored this year (no UCL, no WC trophy) reminds me of that year when penaldo did not win any trophy but still managed to win this because of how many goals he scored
The thing is the Rich Guys might almost silently Got through with pushing the Kane Agenda with 100% succes rate. But now experts like Petit saying he has no Chance make it at least questionable that they try to sell us Kane is Ballon D Or Winner for sure.
yeah almost 50% here is pretty weird as well, makes little sense and kane yes is definitely not a good value rn.. Rodri yes is a good value imo just because how insanely well he played in the WC and thanks to him, Spain only conceded once in the whole tournament, afaik that never happened before and might play some role here, like Modric in 2018 ;)
Yeah true
The more adversity HK faces from pundits the more his Community Reunites and Push his odds higher. Respect for that. But is it a Bull trap for the Mass or are critical pundits just heavily underestimating HK, Bundesliga and his Overall achievements competing against Mbappe, Messi, Dembele and Kinds?
Thanks for comment section. The more i read , the more i confuse . To me , it’s interesting because it is kind of how great football all about . There is always room to shine. The game dynamics is unexpectedly steered at any ways just in 1 brilliant moment. What a sport . Whatever the winner , one should unanimously give credit to the work by the great man himself.
mymymymy
My bet, i see some are saying messi, even i a ronaldo fan don't see ronaldo winning this one, not even messi
If you ask Non Mbappe Voter why he should not win it, they only have one argument;"Tr0pHyLeS S34s0n", While on the hand, Official Ballon D'or Page has clearly said that there are 6 occurance where trophyless player wins Ballon D'or and the last player who get it is Cristiano, sure there are team achievement point, but individual performance has the most weigth. I can't believe Mbappe is still at 9c, its 1100% gain from here. Thankyou Mbappe seller got me cheap price.
I think Messi, at 39, showed excellent football; it's pure magic. He scored goals, which defies the laws of physics. He's 39, but he plays like he's 25. It's a shame he's not appreciated enough here. Youngsters like Yamal, Kane, and Mbappe will still win the Ballon d'Or when Messi retires.
Good luck a good value bet. Might make it. But Mbappe, Rodri and Lamal are strong competitors
Messi 🏆
Nice
mbappe normally
Yes bro very strong case
Fabrizio Romano worlds famous football expert is sharing the “Kane will not win BO view” on his FB. Will this affect how pundits see it? Does it affect odds? Or will HK community even come back stronger ?
Emmanuel petit said HK is now out of the race for ballon d or . Is it true or does he just not understand soccer that well ?