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Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Economy Vol. $184,066 50 traders

25 bps decrease89%
No Change12%
50+ bps decrease1%
50+ bps increase0%
$184,066 Vol. Economy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
<1% ▼ 1
25 bps increase
<1%
No Change
12% ▼ 1
25 bps decrease
89% ▲ 2
50+ bps decrease
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa1b3…931c SELL No $4.82 2m ago
  • 0xe3e5…dd13 BUY No $209.67 1h ago
  • 0x4aa3…11ce SELL Yes $0.02 1h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $3.51 1h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $26.83 1h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.15 1h ago
  • 0x4d02…2ad3 BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
  • 0xdebd…49f3 SELL Yes $1.76 3h ago
  • 0x5073…16a7 SELL Yes $132.00 8h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $0.59 8h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.91 8h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $6.70 8h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.01 8h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $17.92 8h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 BUY No $106.21 8h ago
  • 0x12f5…5ac4 SELL No $13.32 8h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $5.50 8h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.63 8h ago
  • 0xe086…0450 SELL No $6.60 8h ago
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $87.40 8h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.33 8h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $34.96 8h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $4.40 8h ago
  • 0x4435…786f BUY Yes $44.50 8h ago
  • 0x2ced…c4a8 BUY Yes $817.48 8h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.01 8h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $44.95 8h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $39.96 8h ago
  • 0x403d…b04d SELL Yes $0.40 9h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 SELL Yes $0.04 10h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $7.00 10h ago
  • 0xbbd8…4470 BUY Yes $7.04 10h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $7.99 10h ago
  • 0x0612…559a BUY Yes $191.84 12h ago
  • 0x2a96…b382 BUY Yes $38.72 12h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $5.65 12h ago
  • 0xfc92…27c9 SELL No $6.51 12h ago
  • 0x9a51…bf4c BUY Yes $81.60 12h ago
  • 0x3c32…7156 BUY Yes $68.88 12h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 12h ago

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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