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Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Canada Vol. $10,542 50 traders

No Change95%
25 bps increase3%
50+ bps decrease2%
25 bps decrease3%
$10,542 Vol. Canada

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
2% ▲ 1
25 bps increase
3%
No Change
95% ▼ 3
25 bps decrease
3% ▲ 2
50+ bps decrease
2% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3b69…01d7 SELL Yes $37.87 1h ago
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $4.56 1h ago
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $1.44 1h ago
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $1.44 1h ago
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $1.44 1h ago
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $1.44 1h ago
  • 0xd8c1…16c0 SELL Yes $13.01 1h ago
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $1.76 8h ago
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $1.44 8h ago
  • 0x8f33…54fc SELL No $2.98 8h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY Yes $1.25 9h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY Yes $1.05 10h ago
  • 0x808a…ef3f BUY No $8.14 10h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $4.85 12h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $5.00 12h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $4.99 12h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $0.34 12h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY Yes $0.22 12h ago
  • 0x808a…ef3f BUY No $6.50 12h ago
  • 0x808a…ef3f BUY No $1.04 12h ago
  • 0x808a…ef3f BUY Yes $4.59 13h ago
  • 0x808a…ef3f BUY No $3.54 13h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY Yes $3.20 13h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY Yes $0.28 14h ago
  • 0x3b69…01d7 SELL Yes $47.20 14h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY No $2.83 14h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY Yes $0.19 15h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $4.99 15h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $4.92 15h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $0.26 15h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY Yes $0.22 15h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $5.00 15h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY Yes $1.47 15h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY Yes $0.04 15h ago
  • 0xc684…2228 BUY No $6.94 16h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY No $4.40 16h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $8.98 16h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $0.39 16h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $8.99 16h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $8.87 16h ago

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

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