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Bank of Canada Decision in September?

Canada Vol. $23,203 50 traders

No Change97%
25 bps increase2%
25 bps decrease1%
50+ bps increase1%
$23,203 Vol. Canada

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
2% ▼ 1
No Change
97% ▲ 4
25 bps decrease
<1%
50+ bps decrease
2% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $88.63 6m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $4.55 6m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $90.45 6m ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $1.91 6m ago
  • 0xe1a9…339e SELL No $0.10 1h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $39.72 2h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $38.96 2h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $2.00 2h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.76 2h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $1.02 2h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $74.16 6h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $72.31 6h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.79 6h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $73.86 6h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $2.08 6h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $4.25 10h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL No $3.57 12h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $0.72 12h ago
  • 0x4ae5…6079 SELL No $3.30 12h ago
  • 0x2ed8…93d4 BUY Yes $166.42 12h ago
  • 0x85e7…5e49 BUY Yes $1.00 14h ago
  • 0x3c3e…5a86 SELL Yes $2.40 18h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $2.74 19h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL No $2.60 21h ago
  • 0x73df…c515 SELL No $2.65 21h ago
  • 0x5656…dc08 SELL No $2.75 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.04 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.11 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $4.72 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.05 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.11 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.04 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.05 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $4.72 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.11 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $4.72 21h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.04 21h ago

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the September 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its September 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for September 2, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its September 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

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