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Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

Mexico Vol. $12,615 50 traders

No change90%
25 bps increase1%
25 bps decrease7%
50+ bps decrease0%
$12,615 Vol. Mexico

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
90%
25 bps increase
1%
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x4060…c1c4 SELL No $55.83 21h ago
  • 0xe1a9…339e BUY No $1.10 Jul 27
  • 0x106c…6564 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $29.97 Jul 25
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $27.61 Jul 25
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $18.40 Jul 25
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL No $4.27 Jul 25
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.90 Jul 25
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $29.85 Jul 25
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.97 Jul 25
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $4.27 Jul 25
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $10.77 Jul 25
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $6.99 Jul 24
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $7.06 Jul 24
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $7.06 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $7.10 Jul 24
  • 0x50f9…2d88 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 24
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL Yes $245.75 Jul 24
  • 0x941b…e827 SELL Yes $90.30 Jul 24
  • 0x4060…c1c4 BUY No $100.50 Jul 24
  • 0xdea5…46ae SELL No $4.68 Jul 22
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $45.72 Jul 20
  • 0xc7fb…8eb0 BUY Yes $6.30 Jul 20
  • 0xc7fb…8eb0 BUY Yes $3.15 Jul 17
  • 0xbf7b…e216 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 17
  • 0x990b…aae2 SELL No $0.31 Jul 17
  • 0xc7fb…8eb0 BUY Yes $1.35 Jul 16
  • 0xc7fb…8eb0 BUY No $17.95 Jul 16
  • 0xc71b…e265 SELL Yes $45.55 Jul 15
  • 0x8dc4…5c9a SELL Yes $0.10 Jul 12
  • 0x8dc4…5c9a SELL Yes $0.10 Jul 12
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $16.14 Jul 11
  • 0x2383…a117 SELL Yes $5.28 Jul 10
  • 0x1e69…54b0 SELL No $1.11 Jul 8
  • 0x1e69…54b0 SELL No $1.22 Jul 8
  • 0x1e69…54b0 SELL No $1.23 Jul 8
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $31.98 Jul 6
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $15.84 Jul 6
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.03 Jul 6
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $1.77 Jul 6

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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