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China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Vol. $801,469 50 traders

4.0–5.0%87%
9.0%+0%
5.0–6.0%11%
3.0–4.0%2%
$801,469 Vol. China

Outcomes

10
Chance
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
2%
4.0–5.0%
87%
5.0–6.0%
11%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0���8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xffd2…d7ae SELL Yes $490.20 16h ago
  • 0xa5a4…fe5c SELL No $2.76 20h ago
  • 0x6b38…0276 BUY Yes $2.32 Jul 28
  • 0xccb3…c2e4 SELL No $6.85 Jul 28
  • 0xccb3…c2e4 BUY No $4.93 Jul 28
  • 0x65e3…15ad SELL Yes $1.22 Jul 28
  • 0xa89a…d889 BUY Yes $19.38 Jul 28
  • 0xbf52…ee5e BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 27
  • 0xccb3…c2e4 SELL No $0.98 Jul 27
  • 0xda32…80c5 SELL No $2.09 Jul 27
  • 0xef81…7097 SELL Yes $1.23 Jul 27
  • 0x5fe5…d03b SELL Yes $1.15 Jul 27
  • 0x1398…913f SELL No $2.96 Jul 27
  • 0xccb3…c2e4 BUY No $1.96 Jul 27
  • 0xccb3…c2e4 BUY No $1.05 Jul 27
  • 0x9e17…0b08 BUY Yes $43.30 Jul 26
  • 0x826b…1ce4 BUY Yes $23.00 Jul 26
  • 0xa693…a3f6 SELL No $2.03 Jul 26
  • 0xdaee…8559 SELL No $4.42 Jul 26
  • 0x0579…1f00 SELL Yes $2.96 Jul 25
  • 0x7d3e…171b BUY Yes $7.50 Jul 25
  • 0x19b8…0c6c BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 24
  • 0x7d3e…171b BUY Yes $8.00 Jul 24
  • 0x89f4…ced1 SELL No $3.08 Jul 24
  • 0x0579…1f00 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 23
  • 0x4777…1e79 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x0992…b890 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x5daa…6a15 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x7d3e…171b BUY Yes $8.75 Jul 23
  • 0x239f…8b82 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x0657…2b79 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x002d…47a2 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0xd99c…8490 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0xf79e…e434 SELL Yes $42.50 Jul 23
  • 0x270b…e632 SELL Yes $299.57 Jul 23
  • 0xcdf8…b8ea SELL Yes $2595.76 Jul 23
  • 0xff13…9a51 SELL No $7.39 Jul 23
  • 0x5e2c…5dc1 SELL Yes $54.38 Jul 23
  • 0x14c2…73b2 BUY Yes $177.06 Jul 23
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $68.91 Jul 23

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Comments

Lilian0129 Jul 26

这就是在送钱，Q2才增长4.3%

.abryxox Jul 25

you know where is drop?

0x5AF737090BE4e46f26fAC7F878eB1142a95f5202-1760293966109 Jun 24

五号电池这个外号不是白叫的

Lilian0129 Jul 20

这你也信？有没有点脑子，今年就让你看跌破5%，Q2才增长4.3

JianpingDai May 18

If the published figure is 5%, then is the result calculated as 4%-5% or 5%-6%?😅

0x5AF737090BE4e46f26fAC7F878eB1142a95f5202-1760293966109 Jun 24

5, as per the rule says, it will get to the upper bracket if it lands on the middle

Epic-Funeral Apr 17

crazy buying

Chims Apr 16

什么傻逼在买5以上?

stellarisxc May 24

如果正好5%会结算在5%-6%选项。定的目标是全年4.5-5%，对统计局年末凑数据表示担心

0xE6D96F9b450766fD3eA2C71b5Ac6651500becf70-1770020175380 Jun 21

担心很有道理

Furmaner Feb 26

Goated!!