China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
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25- 0xdfa9…2bfc SELL Yes $1.25 19m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 SELL Yes $4.50 19m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 19m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 19m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 19m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 20m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 20m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 20m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 20m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 21m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 21m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 21m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 21m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 21m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 22m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 22m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 22m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 22m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 22m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 23m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 23m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 23m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 23m ago
- 0xdfa9…2bfc BUY Yes $4.68 23m ago
- 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $4.68 24m ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as melee weapons, missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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