Sign Up
← Markets

Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

UK Vol. $84,096 50 traders

Farage 60%+48%
Farage 20-40%9%
Other1%
Farage 40-60%35%
$84,096 Vol. UK

Outcomes

6
Chance
Farage 60%+
48% ▲ 1
Farage 40-60%
35%
Farage 20-40%
9% ▲ 1
Farage <20%
8% ▼ 2
Count Binface
3%
Other
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x73a6…d207 BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
  • 0xa86f…022c SELL No $19.26 9h ago
  • 0x74f1…16a8 BUY No $502.10 10h ago
  • 0x46b1…428c SELL No $5.03 10h ago
  • 0x95e8…81ef SELL No $1.00 10h ago
  • 0x91ad…b29e SELL No $1.00 10h ago
  • 0x74f1…16a8 BUY No $906.89 10h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $90.10 13h ago
  • 0x5c1b…4b4f BUY Yes $20.00 13h ago
  • 0x4eba…c7d7 SELL No $1.00 14h ago
  • 0x4b28…15df BUY No $148.11 18h ago
  • 0x3373…3716 SELL Yes $4.49 19h ago
  • 0xb119…680b SELL No $4.33 Jul 28
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $5.03 Jul 28
  • 0x4b28…15df BUY Yes $59.55 Jul 28
  • 0x5b63…11a4 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 28
  • 0x5b63…11a4 BUY Yes $4.66 Jul 28
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $22.73 Jul 28
  • 0x0d93…8cbe BUY Yes $2.35 Jul 28
  • 0x0d93…8cbe BUY Yes $1.73 Jul 28
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $40.07 Jul 27
  • 0xd10a…b9cd BUY Yes $2.45 Jul 27
  • 0x5e38…a78b BUY No $0.68 Jul 27
  • 0x3089…92f6 BUY No $104.55 Jul 27
  • 0xe067…b085 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0x5a22…17a6 BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 27
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $11.07 Jul 27
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $26.08 Jul 27
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $15.83 Jul 27
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $37.28 Jul 27
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $37.86 Jul 27
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $16.08 Jul 27
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $16.64 Jul 27
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $39.20 Jul 27
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $16.93 Jul 27
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $39.87 Jul 27
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $270.00 Jul 27
  • 0x5a22…17a6 BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 27
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL No $2.07 Jul 27
  • 0x74f1…16a8 BUY No $366.75 Jul 27

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Comments

0xqx Jul 11

Count Binface