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Fed Decision in July?

Economic Policy Vol. $124,731,891 2494 traders

No change79%
50+ bps increase0%
25 bps increase21%
25 bps decrease0%
$124,731,891 Vol. Economic Policy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
79% ▲ 5
25 bps increase
21% ▼ 5
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x2b4f…4267 BUY Yes $96.21 33s ago
  • 0x2669…00a7 BUY Yes $3.96 2m ago
  • 0x58b3…653c SELL Yes $5.05 2m ago
  • 0x4b1a…af79 BUY No $1.00 3m ago
  • 0x60cb…072c SELL Yes $1.04 3m ago
  • 0x4423…47fd SELL No $123.51 3m ago
  • 0x2f8f…4f09 SELL No $15.75 3m ago
  • 0x54e4…0f9a BUY No $938.08 4m ago
  • 0x4fdf…47c6 BUY Yes $350.00 4m ago
  • 0x7845…417b BUY Yes $474.29 4m ago
  • 0x402a…bf33 BUY Yes $79.30 5m ago
  • 0x0717…ade5 BUY No $5.00 5m ago
  • 0x81bd…928b BUY Yes $10.00 5m ago
  • 0xfefb…7fe3 BUY Yes $1.50 6m ago
  • 0xd5e2…5377 BUY Yes $1.00 7m ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.99 7m ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $5.47 7m ago
  • 0x33b1…af25 BUY Yes $12.35 7m ago
  • 0x4e89…2a14 BUY No $9.00 7m ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $4.33 7m ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $7.91 7m ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $5.47 7m ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.98 7m ago
  • 0xaa3b…f4a7 BUY Yes $1.00 7m ago
  • 0xabce…2f87 SELL Yes $61.58 7m ago
  • 0xfefb…7fe3 SELL Yes $1.59 7m ago
  • 0xaa3b…f4a7 BUY Yes $1.00 7m ago
  • 0x9bc3…591c BUY Yes $1.00 7m ago
  • 0x9bc3…591c BUY Yes $1.00 7m ago
  • 0x5f93…ff72 BUY Yes $20.00 7m ago
  • 0xe723…831c SELL No $3.67 7m ago
  • 0x4393…18f4 BUY No $2.15 7m ago
  • 0xa8ae…8eb7 BUY Yes $100.00 7m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $68.93 8m ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $31.09 8m ago
  • 0x5f93…ff72 BUY Yes $80.00 8m ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $24.63 8m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $54.65 8m ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $31.06 8m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $68.86 8m ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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