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Fed Decision in October?

Fed Vol. $363,143 50 traders

50+ bps decrease2%
25 bps decrease10%
25 bps increase24%
No change61%
$363,143 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
10%
No change
61%
25 bps increase
24% ▼ 1
50+ bps increase
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x4e1a…947c SELL Yes $9.00 1h ago
  • 0x0ae4…a076 BUY No $8.00 3h ago
  • 0x3e68…760f BUY No $16.38 3h ago
  • 0x90bf…99eb BUY Yes $3.04 5h ago
  • 0xb635…f0fd BUY Yes $10.00 6h ago
  • 0xdc41…dd7e BUY Yes $1.68 6h ago
  • 0x90bf…99eb BUY Yes $11.12 7h ago
  • 0xe915…f3bf BUY Yes $10.00 7h ago
  • 0x270b…e632 SELL Yes $4.84 8h ago
  • 0x1f02…ad1f BUY No $166.61 8h ago
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY Yes $61.00 8h ago
  • 0x5065…f4f7 BUY No $257.53 10h ago
  • 0x885b…3e82 BUY Yes $7.70 11h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $11.23 12h ago
  • 0x5073…16a7 SELL No $38.00 13h ago
  • 0x80b4…a451 BUY No $40.00 13h ago
  • 0xde9c…b1d6 BUY Yes $2.00 14h ago
  • 0xa6fe…56bc BUY Yes $1.00 16h ago
  • 0xc1df…af33 SELL Yes $77.00 17h ago
  • 0x9cb0…f49c BUY Yes $10.00 18h ago
  • 0x97ab…2e6a SELL Yes $1.00 18h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $250.82 18h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $450.00 18h ago
  • 0x30e4…5102 SELL No $1108.62 18h ago
  • 0xf6ab…fb13 BUY Yes $12.83 19h ago
  • 0x19b8…0c6c BUY Yes $5.00 20h ago
  • 0x9da9…e9c7 BUY Yes $5.00 22h ago
  • 0x8031…c84c SELL No $12.18 23h ago
  • 0x3f63…0a71 SELL No $4.61 Jul 28
  • 0x036a…4c9a BUY Yes $50.00 Jul 28
  • 0xa1bd…880b BUY Yes $1.25 Jul 28
  • 0x3f63…0a71 BUY No $4.62 Jul 28
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $486.75 Jul 28
  • 0x30e4…5102 SELL No $1153.61 Jul 28
  • 0x30e4…5102 SELL Yes $1462.76 Jul 28
  • 0x2aae…a80c SELL No $6.08 Jul 28
  • 0xa9a5…2756 BUY Yes $4.43 Jul 28
  • 0xb87f…f7d4 SELL Yes $2.96 Jul 28
  • 0x0711…f03c SELL Yes $3.70 Jul 28
  • 0x40fe…3bfd BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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