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Fed Decision in September?

fomc Vol. $4,673,421 93 traders

25 bps decrease4%
25 bps increase56%
No change41%
50+ bps decrease2%
$4,673,421 Vol. fomc

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
4%
No change
41% ▲ 6
25 bps increase
56%
50+ bps increase
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xb6fe…72fd BUY No $642.71 27m ago
  • 0x7171…7af9 SELL Yes $0.01 32m ago
  • 0xe22c…7baf BUY Yes $1.00 36m ago
  • 0x4710…6604 BUY No $1048.38 46m ago
  • 0xb244…0ea3 BUY Yes $1.75 1h ago
  • 0x12da…6db3 BUY Yes $1.70 1h ago
  • 0x24e4…3826 BUY Yes $2.80 1h ago
  • 0x4e1a…947c SELL Yes $12.30 1h ago
  • 0x39b9…8133 BUY No $2.25 1h ago
  • 0x3e4a…8e35 BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
  • 0xbf53…6135 BUY Yes $2.80 1h ago
  • 0xbeda…1950 BUY Yes $2.05 1h ago
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 BUY Yes $2.40 1h ago
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 BUY Yes $2.40 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 SELL Yes $0.16 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 SELL Yes $0.35 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 SELL Yes $4.87 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 SELL Yes $0.09 1h ago
  • 0xceb2…0399 BUY Yes $2.80 1h ago
  • 0xefb4…50d4 BUY No $2.25 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $72.79 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $71.25 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $33.36 1h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $73.32 1h ago
  • 0x0e09…05bb SELL No $102.07 1h ago
  • 0x859b…31b8 BUY Yes $99.81 2h ago
  • 0xbec0…c206 BUY Yes $1.20 2h ago
  • 0xf0d1…1958 SELL Yes $1.40 2h ago
  • 0xc0ed…34b5 BUY No $1.40 2h ago
  • 0xea2a…78ab BUY Yes $1.22 2h ago
  • 0x9a01…cd36 BUY No $2.25 2h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $4.92 2h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $4.80 2h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $2.25 2h ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $4.95 2h ago
  • 0xe2ea…17fe BUY Yes $2.05 2h ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 SELL Yes $3.94 2h ago
  • 0x3d1d…3455 BUY Yes $1.20 2h ago
  • 0x8583…d0e1 SELL No $88.00 2h ago
  • 0x5ccf…1188 BUY Yes $5.00 2h ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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