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Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed Vol. $917,835 50 traders

Pause–Pause–Pause79%
Other21%
Pause–Pause–Cut0%
Cut–Cut–Cut0%
$917,835 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

9
Chance
Cut–Pause–Pause Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Cut–Pause–Cut Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Pause Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Cut Resolved
0%
Pause–Pause–Pause
79% ▲ 4
Pause–Pause–Cut
<1% ▼ 1
Pause–Cut–Pause Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Pause–Cut–Cut Resolved
0%
Other
21% ▼ 4

Recent trades

40
  • 0xba80…3b66 SELL No $0.89 2h ago
  • 0x832b…5c91 BUY Yes $78.00 2h ago
  • 0x832b…5c91 BUY Yes $12.29 3h ago
  • 0xba80…3b66 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x832b…5c91 BUY Yes $35.41 3h ago
  • 0x5f8e…21b7 BUY Yes $41.80 4h ago
  • 0x4a07…de1b SELL Yes $2.70 8h ago
  • 0xf0c2…7efa SELL No $4.54 9h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL Yes $38.01 9h ago
  • 0x76db…6987 SELL Yes $341.91 9h ago
  • 0xbe53…2dba BUY Yes $8.10 10h ago
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $3.93 10h ago
  • 0x3901…9761 SELL No $9.91 10h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $13.99 10h ago
  • 0x2c1a…42d8 SELL No $30.29 10h ago
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $1.17 15h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $1.03 15h ago
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $4.99 15h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $4.44 15h ago
  • 0xd4fc…7a72 BUY Yes $2.49 15h ago
  • 0xd4fc…7a72 BUY Yes $1.55 15h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL Yes $38.96 16h ago
  • 0x67d6…245e BUY No $100.17 16h ago
  • 0x67d6…245e BUY No $1.23 16h ago
  • 0x0c8d…f2a5 SELL Yes $6.94 17h ago
  • 0x5c06…9829 BUY Yes $1.02 17h ago
  • 0x0c8d…f2a5 BUY Yes $6.99 17h ago
  • 0x7638…b60c BUY No $2.75 17h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $360.28 18h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.88 18h ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $87.22 19h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.88 19h ago
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $102.64 19h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.97 19h ago
  • 0x0774…8d46 BUY No $21.00 19h ago
  • 0xeee8…87fa BUY No $23.00 20h ago
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $89.73 Jul 28
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $29.91 Jul 28
  • 0xcd91…32b8 BUY No $573.27 Jul 28
  • 0x4b18…927f BUY No $19.00 Jul 28

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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