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Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed Vol. $632,740 50 traders

Other66%
Pause–Pause–Pause32%
Pause–Pause–Cut2%
Pause–Cut–Pause0%
$632,740 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

9
Chance
Cut–Pause–Pause Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Cut–Pause–Cut Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Pause Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Cut Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Pause–Pause–Pause
32% ▲ 2
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
<1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
<1%
Other
66% ▼ 4

Recent trades

40
  • 0x65ce…fd65 SELL No $0.97 4h ago
  • 0x80a4…22cc SELL No $102.75 15h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $60.14 17h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $15.30 20h ago
  • 0x011b…c932 BUY Yes $2.00 20h ago
  • 0x903c…079b SELL Yes $14.50 20h ago
  • 0xcb32…e1c8 SELL Yes $12.04 22h ago
  • 0xacf8…f5bb SELL Yes $15.00 Jul 28
  • 0x65ce…fd65 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0x46ee…eb1e BUY Yes $16.31 Jul 28
  • 0xe797…8a2b SELL No $1.07 Jul 28
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $3.10 Jul 28
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $218.93 Jul 28
  • 0xd245…2318 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $209.58 Jul 28
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.98 Jul 28
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $6.80 Jul 28
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $3.10 Jul 28
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $33.30 Jul 28
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $43.85 Jul 28
  • 0xb0fc…ce0b BUY Yes $332.10 Jul 28
  • 0xd245…2318 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $1.59 Jul 28
  • 0x0446…cc69 SELL Yes $0.06 Jul 28
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.97 Jul 28
  • 0xfc92…27c9 BUY Yes $2.90 Jul 28
  • 0xb0fc…ce0b BUY Yes $68.37 Jul 28
  • 0x608f…9065 SELL Yes $12.50 Jul 28
  • 0x299c…7e23 SELL Yes $22.85 Jul 28
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $2.27 Jul 28
  • 0x9495…468f SELL Yes $1.08 Jul 28
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.30 Jul 28
  • 0x4b9b…7a9f SELL Yes $0.15 Jul 28
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 Jul 28
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 Jul 28
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $3.08 Jul 28
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 Jul 28
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 Jul 28
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.95 Jul 28
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $22.89 Jul 28

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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