Sign Up
← Markets

Houthis successfully target shipping on...?

Oil Vol. $60,430 50 traders

July 24100%
July 262%
July 2826%
August 3111%
$60,430 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

39
Chance
July 24 Resolved
100% ▲ 82
July 25 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 26
2% ▼ 1
July 27
2% ▼ 1
July 28
26% ▲ 14
July 29
9% ▼ 6
July 30
9% ▼ 7
July 31
8% ▼ 4
August 1
10% ▲ 2
August 2
11% ▼ 4
August 3
12% ▼ 4
August 4
10% ▲ 1
August 5
11% ▼ 3
August 6
11% ▲ 1
August 7
10% ▼ 10
August 8
12% ▼ 7
August 9
13% ▼ 24
August 10
10%
August 11
9% ▼ 3
August 12
6% ▼ 5
August 13
17% ▼ 2
August 14
9% ▼ 4
August 15
9% ▼ 2
August 16
13% ▲ 3
August 17
10% ▼ 1
August 18
11%
August 19
13% ▼ 26
August 20
8%
August 21
10% ▲ 2
August 22
14% ▼ 1
August 23
14% ▼ 6
August 24
13% ▼ 4
August 25
9% ▼ 4
August 26
18% ▼ 13
August 27
7% ▼ 5
August 28
10% ▼ 2
August 29
6% ▼ 6
August 30
10%
August 31
11% ▲ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0x9453…1a48 BUY No $38.00 2h ago
  • 0x9e1c…e801 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x9e1c…e801 BUY No $201.00 3h ago
  • 0xf025…48f8 BUY No $68.00 3h ago
  • 0xf025…48f8 BUY No $100.00 3h ago
  • 0x619d…b31c BUY No $2.00 4h ago
  • 0x758d…d822 SELL No $0.96 9h ago
  • 0x4aa5…0de9 SELL No $0.96 9h ago
  • 0x2522…9714 SELL No $0.96 9h ago
  • 0x022d…ab31 SELL No $0.96 9h ago
  • 0x4b9c…dc95 SELL No $0.96 9h ago
  • 0xc0c2…b14d SELL No $1.45 9h ago
  • 0xd06f…15c8 SELL Yes $9.60 10h ago
  • 0xf119…4c6e SELL No $10.00 10h ago
  • 0xff7c…b233 SELL Yes $28.77 11h ago
  • 0xc713…f0bc BUY No $4.92 11h ago
  • 0x319c…c573 SELL Yes $39.32 11h ago
  • 0x0eb4…aa23 BUY No $10.00 11h ago
  • 0x3e56…35d5 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0xff7c…b233 BUY Yes $1.16 14h ago
  • 0xf025…48f8 BUY No $10.00 16h ago
  • 0xff7c…b233 BUY Yes $3.60 16h ago
  • 0x386c…8323 SELL No $32.41 16h ago
  • 0xff7c…b233 BUY Yes $159.75 17h ago
  • 0xb731…5797 BUY No $10.00 17h ago
  • 0x2843…b3d2 BUY Yes $37.50 17h ago
  • 0x2843…b3d2 BUY Yes $39.00 17h ago
  • 0x93f9…8688 BUY Yes $15.00 17h ago
  • 0x1fcc…701b BUY Yes $14.99 17h ago
  • 0x853c…bd03 BUY Yes $4.19 17h ago
  • 0x853c…bd03 BUY Yes $3.44 17h ago
  • 0x9797…2532 SELL Yes $0.05 18h ago
  • 0x595c…1a1d SELL Yes $0.05 21h ago
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL Yes $0.65 23h ago
  • 0x073e…8416 SELL Yes $0.77 23h ago
  • 0xb17d…59ae BUY No $53.68 23h ago
  • 0x758d…d822 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0x2522…9714 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0x4aa5…0de9 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0x4b9c…dc95 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

Comments