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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

Science Vol. $18,564 50 traders

≤61%
73%
>1332%
97%
$18,564 Vol. Science

Outcomes

9
Chance
≤6
1% ▼ 4
7
3% ▼ 6
8
5% ▼ 6
9
7% ▼ 14
10
13% ▼ 11
11
14% ▲ 3
12
14% ▼ 9
13
14% ▲ 6
>13
32% ▼ 25

Recent trades

40
  • 0x807f…6051 SELL Yes $0.69 29m ago
  • 0x807f…6051 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xa4ac…3ab4 SELL No $0.98 3h ago
  • 0x3259…e6c2 SELL No $0.98 3h ago
  • 0x17b7…57cc SELL No $0.98 3h ago
  • 0x914b…dab0 SELL No $0.98 3h ago
  • 0xa4ac…3ab4 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x17b7…57cc BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x3259…e6c2 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x914b…dab0 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 BUY Yes $7.85 3h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 SELL Yes $31.15 3h ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL No $14.60 4h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY Yes $1.98 7h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL Yes $2.53 7h ago
  • 0xf2cf…464b SELL Yes $1.30 8h ago
  • 0x9acd…a3fe BUY No $219.90 8h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $2.97 10h ago
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL No $33.08 11h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $1.67 12h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $2.92 13h ago
  • 0x50b1…988c BUY Yes $5.00 13h ago
  • 0x50b1…988c SELL Yes $0.08 13h ago
  • 0x50b1…988c BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0x394c…b2be SELL No $13.86 13h ago
  • 0x9cb0…f49c SELL Yes $0.86 15h ago
  • 0x5904…940f BUY No $2.00 15h ago
  • 0x5904…940f BUY No $2.00 15h ago
  • 0x5904…940f BUY No $2.00 15h ago
  • 0x5904…940f BUY No $2.00 15h ago
  • 0x9cb0…f49c BUY Yes $1.00 15h ago
  • 0x85f3…9687 SELL Yes $1.80 16h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $1.60 16h ago
  • 0x6ba3…86ba SELL No $19.34 17h ago
  • 0x9797…2532 SELL Yes $0.46 20h ago
  • 0x7f15…52f1 SELL No $8.63 20h ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL Yes $0.65 21h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY Yes $2.19 21h ago
  • 0x6648…f69a BUY No $13.08 21h ago
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $9.98 21h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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