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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

Science Vol. $24,609 50 traders

00%
155%
232%
>51%
$24,609 Vol. Science

Outcomes

7
Chance
0
<1% ▼ 1
1
55% ▲ 4
2
32% ▼ 1
3
11% ▼ 2
4
2% ▼ 1
5
1% ▼ 2
>5
<1% ▼ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa7d2…f954 SELL No $22.50 2m ago
  • 0xbd01…87d5 BUY Yes $100.00 41m ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL Yes $13.75 48m ago
  • 0x783c…fd0d BUY Yes $8.09 2h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.36 2h ago
  • 0xb8fd…9638 SELL Yes $10.80 2h ago
  • 0xf9e1…421f SELL No $4.76 3h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL No $21.24 3h ago
  • 0x3901…9761 SELL No $13.66 3h ago
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $13.66 3h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL No $143.56 3h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL Yes $72.00 3h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL Yes $15.57 3h ago
  • 0x1345…6508 BUY No $112.70 3h ago
  • 0x764a…83d3 SELL No $0.00 3h ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $7.03 3h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $11.01 3h ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $1.47 3h ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $12.99 3h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $10.24 3h ago
  • 0x7581…21f5 BUY No $18.86 3h ago
  • 0xd43e…49c3 BUY No $1.87 3h ago
  • 0x7f61…8554 BUY No $192.86 3h ago
  • 0xe0dc…3944 BUY No $99.80 5h ago
  • 0x302b…7a54 SELL No $20.25 5h ago
  • 0x29df…9340 SELL No $13.37 6h ago
  • 0x5f13…f926 BUY Yes $100.00 6h ago
  • 0x1ea2…9f60 BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x1ea2…9f60 BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $7.40 7h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $2.32 8h ago
  • 0x8271…061c BUY Yes $1.00 8h ago
  • 0x783c…fd0d BUY Yes $11.40 8h ago
  • 0x8271…061c BUY Yes $1.00 8h ago
  • 0x3901…9761 SELL No $8.60 8h ago
  • 0x783c…fd0d BUY Yes $51.30 8h ago
  • 0x302b…7a54 SELL No $99.20 9h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL No $1.97 9h ago
  • 0x2ed9…8496 SELL Yes $3.73 9h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $24.92 9h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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