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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?

Oil Vol. $212,762 50 traders

<505%
75-998%
50-7492%
100-1241%
$212,762 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
<50
5% ▼ 63
50-74
92% ▲ 69
75-99
7% ▼ 2
100-124
<1%
125+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa32d…df56 BUY No $1.71 51s ago
  • 0x8d85…726f SELL No $0.01 11m ago
  • 0xbaf7…b963 SELL Yes $10.92 1h ago
  • 0xfcf2…7279 BUY Yes $1.60 2h ago
  • 0x7b7d…22c1 BUY No $1.60 4h ago
  • 0x7b7d…22c1 BUY No $19.28 4h ago
  • 0x789a…1dda BUY Yes $39.36 5h ago
  • 0x9efe…6357 BUY Yes $8.95 5h ago
  • 0x7162…83e1 BUY Yes $1.19 5h ago
  • 0x9aeb…2729 BUY Yes $465.23 5h ago
  • 0xa576…8678 SELL Yes $13.80 7h ago
  • 0xa576…8678 SELL Yes $40.00 8h ago
  • 0x133f…8386 SELL No $0.33 8h ago
  • 0xf184…d472 SELL No $4.64 10h ago
  • 0x2c41…133e SELL No $311.05 10h ago
  • 0x4138…6a24 BUY No $4.20 10h ago
  • 0xf0f8…325f BUY No $19.18 10h ago
  • 0xf0f8…325f BUY No $19.14 12h ago
  • 0x7db8…ed19 BUY Yes $16.41 13h ago
  • 0xf2aa…21fb SELL Yes $75.01 13h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $19.16 13h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $38.32 13h ago
  • 0x778b…4e2d BUY Yes $86.00 13h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $36.00 13h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $18.00 13h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $280.15 13h ago
  • 0x9453…1a48 BUY Yes $300.00 13h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $262.64 13h ago
  • 0xcada…df46 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0xf2aa…21fb SELL Yes $110.18 13h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $23.42 13h ago
  • 0xb2e4…b7f1 BUY No $189.93 13h ago
  • 0x9453…1a48 BUY Yes $200.00 13h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.00 13h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $9.47 13h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $22.26 13h ago
  • 0x1abc…45e7 BUY No $180.50 13h ago
  • 0x07f2…ee29 BUY Yes $6.02 13h ago
  • 0x9453…1a48 BUY Yes $73.00 14h ago
  • 0xf0f8…325f BUY No $491.49 15h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 20, 2026, through July 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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