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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?

Oil Vol. $23,417 50 traders

25-4924%
100+8%
75-9913%
<251%
$23,417 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
<25
2% ▼ 3
25-49
24% ▼ 14
50-74
46% ▲ 8
75-99
13% ▲ 7
100+
10% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x154e…911f BUY No $39.50 5m ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $2.70 35m ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $2.50 40m ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $2.30 49m ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $1.30 49m ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.76 51m ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.74 51m ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.09 51m ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.30 51m ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $2.25 51m ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.55 51m ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $1.25 1h ago
  • 0x079c…363f BUY Yes $1.09 1h ago
  • 0xfc92…27c9 SELL Yes $5.34 1h ago
  • 0x24fe…3419 BUY Yes $11.70 2h ago
  • 0x079c…363f BUY Yes $2.48 2h ago
  • 0x6d74…62f9 BUY Yes $4.97 2h ago
  • 0xb4f2…e5fa BUY No $932.59 2h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $3.00 2h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $4.20 2h ago
  • 0xb4f2…e5fa BUY No $1020.66 2h ago
  • 0xfc1f…a246 BUY No $125.00 2h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $1.33 2h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $14.35 3h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $0.60 3h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $11.48 3h ago
  • 0x78c5…f623 SELL No $3.13 3h ago
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $17.05 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $14.00 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $0.60 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $11.90 4h ago
  • 0x74cb…ae6d SELL Yes $7.20 4h ago
  • 0xa7ec…e964 SELL Yes $2.85 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $8.00 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $0.34 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $6.80 4h ago
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 BUY Yes $14.95 4h ago
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 BUY Yes $2.53 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $15.75 4h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $17.10 4h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 27, 2026, through August 2, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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