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Human moon landing in 2026?

Tech Vol. $1,964,327 50 traders

Yes1%
No99%
$1,964,327 Vol. Tech
Human moon landing in 2026?
1%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x955b…a747 BUY No $15.00 25m ago
  • 0x28ff…43ad SELL No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xc8f6…0464 SELL No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x7ae2…ff40 SELL No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xc5c8…286b SELL No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x7792…ee70 SELL No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x86ba…3694 SELL No $0.47 4h ago
  • 0x7792…ee70 BUY No $1.00 5h ago
  • 0x28ff…43ad BUY No $1.00 5h ago
  • 0xc5c8…286b BUY No $1.00 5h ago
  • 0x7ae2…ff40 BUY No $1.00 5h ago
  • 0xc8f6…0464 BUY No $1.00 5h ago
  • 0x9070…e32c SELL Yes $0.05 13h ago
  • 0x1c3f…05ae BUY No $479.00 13h ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL No $4.94 13h ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY No $4.94 13h ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL No $12.84 13h ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY No $12.85 13h ago
  • 0x9070…e32c SELL Yes $0.06 13h ago
  • 0x0b34…ffc3 SELL Yes $0.39 13h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $0.07 13h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $0.08 14h ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL Yes $3.77 14h ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY Yes $6.42 14h ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL No $2.95 14h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

jozeslemsek Jun 14

Tim is NOT going to the moon

PubgWithoutSaving Apr 15

4% bond lmao

QsLittleNigg3r Apr 2

just a reminder, artemis' mission only oribts the moon and has 0 plans for human moonwalk

Topsyy Apr 2

yeaaa we know but lets pump this market :)

Moiro Mar 2

NASA’s official Artemis III target is “no earlier than September 2026

Puera1994 Feb 9

What about the option to bet on a robot?

Naichli Feb 3

March: Artemis II launch, then China comes out of nowhere and launches a moon mission at the same time. The rockets are racing in the sky but Artemis II is not supposed to land on the surface, even though they are faster, so China lands on the moon and the bet resolves Yes

kandinsky Feb 2

Can we get a market for 'is the earth flat' so that UMA whales can fabricate the truth and say it's NOT when it CLEARLY IS if you just look outside. YOU CAN'T SEE A CURVE. NO ONE CAN.

aialphaswarm Apr 2

🤣

TheStoist May 18

I see a curve it's very obvious

-Dominus- Feb 2

ARTEMIS 2 WILL LAND ON THE MOON, I REPEAT: ARTEMIS 2 WILL LAND ON THE MOON WITH THE ORION MODULE TO COLLECT MOON SOIL.

crav Apr 2

yeah in 2028 lmao

-Dominus- Apr 2

that will be artemis 4

Snow-White Feb 2

a dangerous bond - the Americans might simply lie again and say they landed on the moon.

TheStoist May 18

Nobody has been to the moon ever

0xD9966248A8f30572fD78e6433Ba488F4D3862aBa-1759165137522 Feb 2

Its going to happen.

fakalluhoeus Feb 1

the moon doesnt even exist

-NPC Mar 3

Are we deadass

TheStoist May 18

You don't exist then

VibeCoding3 Jan 23

Who the hell buys yes?

FigBag Jan 24

Why would you buy no? You're better off just holding your money in a savings account if you want a 5% return?

IraqiLobster Jan 26

because they might """land""" (*sarcasm)

Nileroadrun Apr 6

On the hopes china does this year I guess

JewedGambler Jan 22

Who is ready for the updated CGI

TheNoobBeaver Jan 21

A beaver can dream

archive250504 Jan 18

While Artemis II launches this year, their mission is incapable of any moonwalks. Artemis III however will have the tools to do so.

Deboroh Jan 17

to

DeverNoom Jan 15

i'm stuck in this dumb market, mf THERE IS 0% CHANCE FOR THIS YEAR

ac20 Jan 15

yes yes

Marlawe Jan 9

2027

DeverNoom Jan 9

lmao

iForgor Jan 8

I wish tbh

TrumpGoat2024Maga Jan 8

anything but actually good markets

Electre Jan 8

Hollywood can build a real lunar environment in the US at any time.