← Markets

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran Vol. $1,395,125 50 traders

July 150%
August 3130%
July 312%
October 3156%
$1,395,125 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

5
Chance
July 15 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
August 31
30% ▲ 7
July 31
2% ▼ 1
October 31
56% ▼ 1
December 31
66% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa39f…fbdb SELL No $1.70 1h ago
  • 0xc26a…36cf SELL Yes $1.47 1h ago
  • 0x7157…e799 SELL Yes $14.30 1h ago
  • 0xd501…1814 SELL Yes $0.07 1h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $86.00 1h ago
  • 0x246b…1196 BUY Yes $1940.71 1h ago
  • 0x7761…f504 BUY Yes $2.24 1h ago
  • 0x5670…2b9c SELL No $53.91 1h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 SELL Yes $5.77 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xa1c6…bb70 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0xada0…8e34 BUY Yes $5.51 2h ago
  • 0x8f1f…e6e6 BUY No $1.80 3h ago
  • 0x8d2b…6d4e BUY No $2.25 4h ago
  • 0xc511…e45b BUY Yes $2.20 4h ago
  • 0x9ef8…58ec BUY No $1.80 4h ago
  • 0x7b69…eafa BUY No $1.80 4h ago
  • 0x56b9…3168 BUY No $2.25 5h ago
  • 0xc7dd…239c BUY Yes $2.20 5h ago
  • 0x362d…ce0e BUY Yes $2.20 5h ago
  • 0x55de…904d BUY Yes $2.20 5h ago

This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies). Isolated demanded charges will not qualify. A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services. Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify). Both of the following are required to occur prior to the specified date, 11:59 PM ET to satisfy this market’s resolution criteria: 1) An official announcement from the Iranian government that such a fee is being, or will be, implemented. 2) A consensus of credible reporting that collection of the fee has begun. Fees charged by Oman, the United Arab Emirates, shipping insurers, private companies, or other non-Iranian entities do not qualify unless charged jointly with Iran, or if Iran directly receives the fee or controls the charging entity. Normal port fees, customs duties, sanctions-related costs, or shipping surcharges do not alone qualify. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of Iran and consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

hyper-liquid-xyz 10h ago

I am Pakistani ship. Iran gave me permission to go back and forth the strait 100 times this week! I accepted their toll and promised to support their propaganda!

tinytouns Jul 14

Iran will set up asap the fees before Trump. If Trump impose its fees, there will be no more place for iranian fees

kohalacoastgabe Jul 14

Keep buying Yes so the rest of us can buy No, lol. I hate when No, being the only possible outcome, is too expensive. Anyone living on our planet actually thinks Trump will let Iran charge a penny? He will get Congress to declare war--and they will--if Iran asserts tolls on 1/5 of oil. Per rules, Iran needs to physically charge and get paid, not just say they will....

theFuuuuuuuck Jul 14

you are on a platform powered by decentralized finance asserting a single entity could throttle the finances of an entire nation? How many ships are transiting? How many bitcoin transactions has anyone ever stopped?

Screech2026 Jul 14

Iran Foreign Minister....................POTUS is absolutely right. Whoever provides secure and safe passage of commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz should be compensated for this service. Iran has always been the GUARDIAN of the Strait and will remain so FOREVER. 20% is of course too much. We will be fair

hedgefundfounder Jul 13

Normal port fees, customs duties, sanctions-related costs, or shipping surcharges do not alone qualify.

hedgefundfounder Jul 13

They need to start receiving payments for this market to resolve

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 13

Truth social - The USA will be, from this point forward, known as THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT, but as such, and as a matter of FAIRNESS will receive tolls, at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped (~35M/ship), for any and all costs necessary to do the job of providing safety and security to this very volatile section of the World. President DONALD J. TRUMP 🤣🤣🤣

0x34701D60cfbf284167e621123762212FDC4b5B4e-1777466406619 Jul 13

Poly market perp code : 01ei0izo

Spirit-LT Jul 4

Iran's "Persian Gulf Strait Authority" is now charging per-vessel tolls of up to $2 million, payable in Chinese yuan, Bitcoin, or USDT.

Laurenman Jul 4

No way! really?

The-Last-Degen Jul 4

nice pnl fuck tard

Laurenman Jul 4

Thank you! at least I have the money to gamble :)

NoSteinNoGate Jul 7

Well if you keep it up not for long

LiquidatedDegen Jul 3

Did you guys read the NBCNews article on this topic in my X feed? Crazy to hold NO.