Iran full airspace closure by...?
Outcomes
10Recent trades
40- 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $4.49 20m ago
- 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $1.01 20m ago
- 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $0.76 22m ago
- 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $2.24 22m ago
- 0x9845…bbc2 SELL No $36.11 23m ago
- 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $199.17 25m ago
- 0x86a6…1b3e BUY Yes $80.00 25m ago
- 0xbdcd…0fe6 SELL No $13.20 26m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $9.18 26m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $56.03 26m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $63.60 26m ago
- 0x82fb…bed6 SELL No $13.20 26m ago
- 0x1eb5…c246 SELL No $26.40 26m ago
- 0x86a6…1b3e BUY Yes $300.00 26m ago
- 0x86a6…1b3e BUY Yes $0.73 27m ago
- 0x5844…5bd4 SELL No $19.62 48m ago
- 0xa8ae…8eb7 SELL No $373.31 57m ago
- 0x595c…1a1d SELL Yes $3.22 1h ago
- 0xf63a…5d80 BUY No $253.04 1h ago
- 0xc827…ec65 SELL Yes $4.70 1h ago
- 0xd20e…b050 SELL No $100.05 1h ago
- 0xd20e…b050 SELL No $9.33 1h ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.97 1h ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.98 1h ago
- 0x6978…08d8 BUY No $838.71 1h ago
- 0x5b8d…a1ae BUY No $10.00 1h ago
- 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.97 2h ago
- 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.98 2h ago
- 0x929a…5ab4 SELL No $60.90 3h ago
- 0x0dcb…e866 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
- 0xf725…7a92 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
- 0x3a72…e3a6 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
- 0xa624…d8af SELL No $0.99 3h ago
- 0x882b…a746 BUY Yes $3.30 3h ago
- 0x76b0…417d SELL Yes $9.60 4h ago
- 0x3eb3…23b2 SELL No $0.34 4h ago
- 0x0b73…2562 BUY Yes $50.00 6h ago
- 0xa164…4686 SELL Yes $64.00 6h ago
- 0xfc1f…a246 BUY Yes $31.25 7h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $17.00 8h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify. A closure which applies generally to commercial aviation across Iranian airspace, with limited exceptions for certain categories of flights, however, will qualify (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). Qualifying previous examples include the February 28, 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace (https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602289115) and the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508), the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/), and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in Iran (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions, earthquakes, or volcanic eruptions, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
Hezbollah just targetted IDF soldiers in southern Lebanon.
A senior US official: "Iran is about six months away from a nuclear bomb. As you can see, we have been negotiating for nearly six months and haven't made progress on even a single point. The Iranians are deceiving Trump and his negotiating team, buying themselves valuable time."
Reuters: China to supply Iran with anti-aircraft missiles in the coming weeks.
Senior Iranian official noted that Tehran has rejected Oman's proposal for regional joint management of the Strait Of Hormuz, noting it as unworkable
As usual never trust ☪️
🌮
BREAKING: IRAN JUST FIRED A BARRAGE OF ROCKETS INTO US BASES IN GULF STATES AND JORDAN.
And behind it all is the Great Satan
NEW: Ukraine’s Foreign Minister, Andrii Sybiha, called Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi He apologized for the incident that killed an Iranian citizen on a civilian ship, and blamed it on Russia. He asked Iran not to respond with force.
Netanyahu and Trump are currently meeting. I personally don't have high hopes. Trump is too afraid to do what's right
Iran publicly executes two Isfahan protesters. It's time to end the largest terror producer of the 21st century
They already executed like 30K so why such a fuzz bout 2 more..
rhetorical question bitch! its cuz these 2 executions actually happened!
I know that in your religion human lives have to value
what?
have to value what?
btw im a vatnik remember? we have no religion
No value* I know you're ☪️
because im against genocide makes me a muslim?
less victims doesnt make it much better....
words take on a whole new meaning in the ***** distortion of reality
no but it shows how absurd those claims about mass executions are. here they actually executed somebody, after due process which took 6 months..
still horrible, 4 victims are twice as horrible, but 1 victim is still horrible
you guys just postulate some type of extra-juridical executions of 10s of thousands of ppl without any proof whatsoever
this is the reason why ppl hate ******. Its not cuz its a ***** state, its because of the genocide of course but even more because of your absurd propaganda thats actually blatant lies (propaganda usually just hides some stuff and emphasis other)
its really quite ironic that because ***** is the ***** state they can literally get away with the most horrible crimes
so IMHO its the US that uses this for their own purpose. but it still boggles the mind that virtually every *** seems to be fine with this and even take pride in it
But it's not surprising, you're a 3rd worlder and live in a dictatorship without free press and you're being brainwashed.
US would attack Iran with or without Israel its just so funny that Israel willingly takes the blame. its almost like they politically captured
Trump: "I’m not giving much time for negotiations. If the talks fail, we will return to powerful military action."
Exactly why i bought with every dollar 🥹
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: "As of now, we are not conducting any negotiations with the US. As long as the US does not understand that Hormuz is under Iranian control, Hormuz will remain closed."
BREAKING: ISRAEL JUST INTERCEPTED 2 UNIDENTIFIED DRONES ALONG THE JORDANIAN BORDER. INVESTIGATIONS OF THE SOURCE HAVE BEGUN.
Iranian drone just hit a cargo ship.
Yalla balagan!
Fr fr🤣 soon
Iranian diaspora and clown prince Reza just the lowest scum, just sayin 🤡
Everyone is very interested in what you have to say
Reza Pahlavi met with the President of the World Jewish Congress in Israel, Sylvan Adams.
Iran’s missile stockpile also astonished American strategists and military planners, who had falsely assumed that it would run out of launch capacity within a few weeks to months. Not only does Iran still have large amounts of missiles and drones, these projectiles are becoming increasingly lethal due to adaptation of targeting data and satellite feeds provided by allies.
theyre expensive though
Iran: We have informed the mediators that we will continue to control the Strait of Hormuz and that there will be no new route under different control; if the Americans wish to hold talks, they are welcome to do so on our terms.
Alr we close asf to war it’s like 95% ready
Iran: IRGC attacked an oil tanker that deviated from the shipping route designated by Iran.
Israel prepared for the war back in a short time and for those who hold Israel air space they want to keep a piece of airspace open with the war
I don’t believe that we that quiet for not good reason I’m all in fuck it
🔥
No luck for me I guess ofc I will buy 40 after days sticking on 55/59 and now is 36😤
🔴 *Delayed End: Israel Prepared for a Large-Scale American Attack on Iran Tonight - Latest Statement Withdrawn* ✍️The small cabinet met last night for a more than 5-hour discussion on Iran, with the expectation that the attack that Trump said he was "considering" would be carried out that night; only late in the evening did it become clear in Jerusalem that the president had chosen to give Tehran another chance, and that all parties involved were instructed to go on alert. dumb ass trump always go back like a snake scared to be bitten in the ass
With ☪️ if you dont bite you get bitten
Yup that blonde mf never learned
Hey bud why your bought 27 it’s close asf the date
It was cheap so I figured why not
I’m mean yea fr
except that theyve paused strikes for 2 days in a row now, or 3, & closure is looking very unlikely rn
I post on it comment they paused it to discuss about worsening the attacks even about if to bring the war back
Trump: "I am definitely considering a full return to combat if we don't get 100% of what we demand from Iran."
Yea and he said they got like 3 days
theyve paused for negotiations
First night without attack weird