Israel military action against Beirut by...?
Outcomes
4Recent trades
40- 0xfb8e…3dc3 BUY Yes $4.00 18m ago
- 0x6c92…9627 BUY Yes $180.00 19m ago
- 0xd6ce…ce85 SELL No $438.61 1h ago
- 0xafc0…c6e8 SELL No $428.98 1h ago
- 0x7b83…59a8 SELL No $425.03 1h ago
- 0xea8f…a405 SELL No $444.36 1h ago
- 0xbcbf…069a SELL No $422.23 1h ago
- 0x4e4d…89b2 SELL No $428.98 1h ago
- 0xd628…5ccd SELL No $444.36 1h ago
- 0xd8aa…a7f7 SELL No $408.62 1h ago
- 0x8ef7…51f9 SELL No $437.08 1h ago
- 0x603d…bd71 SELL No $430.31 1h ago
- 0x88fd…b557 SELL No $435.15 1h ago
- 0xda09…680b SELL No $432.25 1h ago
- 0x4e91…2d99 SELL No $431.28 1h ago
- 0x56c3…d976 SELL No $444.82 1h ago
- 0xcf4a…585e SELL No $436.12 1h ago
- 0x9048…42f4 SELL No $439.99 1h ago
- 0x19e0…67a1 BUY No $8.60 1h ago
- 0xbd3a…91fc SELL No $421.07 1h ago
- 0xe066…1993 SELL No $459.80 1h ago
- 0xccd9…ee0a SELL No $444.82 1h ago
- 0x7304…bc4b SELL No $435.14 1h ago
- 0xd6ce…ce85 BUY No $437.70 1h ago
- 0xafc0…c6e8 BUY No $428.09 1h ago
- 0xc0c2…b14d SELL No $1.27 9h ago
- 0xdaa6…3e62 BUY No $6.90 11h ago
- 0x7034…9ede SELL No $16.62 18h ago
- 0x1692…efd3 BUY Yes $5.00 18h ago
- 0xab47…be54 SELL No $1.75 23h ago
- 0xc07a…5406 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
- 0x7774…6ba4 BUY No $100.00 Jul 27
- 0xbdcd…0fe6 SELL Yes $12.94 Jul 27
- 0x1aab…6c6f SELL Yes $25.98 Jul 27
- 0x38a8…865a SELL Yes $13.36 Jul 27
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $64.11 Jul 27
- 0x82fb…bed6 SELL Yes $6.60 Jul 27
- 0x0faf…d0d9 BUY No $200.18 Jul 27
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $1.64 Jul 27
- 0x82fb…bed6 SELL Yes $1.64 Jul 27
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Greater Beirut by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Greater Beirut. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Greater Beirut do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Greater Beirut” refers to the continuous urbanized zone that encompasses all of the Beirut Governorate and the adjacent coastal and suburban municipalities of the Mount Lebanon Governorate. For this market, the geographic boundaries as defined in the map “Location of the Greater Beirut Area” (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Beirut-3ffb23044f.png) from Faour & Mhawej (2014), Mapping Urban Transitions in the Greater Beirut Area Using Different Space Platforms (https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/3/3/941) will be used. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory based on the referenced map, it will not qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IDT) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Lebanon and credible reporting.
Comments
So when strike?
We should add more dates, like Aug. 14/15, with all the tensions and whatnot
Why add dates if no one resolves the ones that passed?
Someone propose for July 14th🙏
Poly market perp code : 01ei0izo
The US forbids Israel from attacking anything major in Southern Lebanon. Nothing will happen in Beirut anytime soon
No needs to be right all the time. Yes only needs to be right once.
Please add market next UMA market scam by . . .