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Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israel Vol. $947,649 50 traders

June 300%
July 311%
December 3136%
August 318%
$947,649 Vol. Israel

Outcomes

5
Chance
June 15 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
June 30 Resolved
0%
July 31
1%
December 31
36% ▲ 5
August 31
8% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8adf…48cd BUY No $228.92 2h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.38 3h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $0.20 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.34 3h ago
  • 0xb1a1…d308 BUY No $59.40 3h ago
  • 0x6268…6031 SELL Yes $0.73 10h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $25.84 12h ago
  • 0x3ec5…c370 BUY No $18.00 13h ago
  • 0x5968…3fc4 SELL No $0.63 14h ago
  • 0x854e…b675 BUY No $103.16 14h ago
  • 0xeca0…e8f8 SELL Yes $52.50 16h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $18.84 17h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $108.86 17h ago
  • 0xd67b…5780 BUY Yes $156.75 17h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $134.00 17h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $471.00 17h ago
  • 0xd67b…5780 BUY Yes $480.00 17h ago
  • 0xb1a1…d308 BUY No $110.00 17h ago
  • 0x74bf…2a6e BUY Yes $128.96 19h ago
  • 0xb04a…acfc SELL No $172.98 21h ago
  • 0x57e7…84e9 BUY Yes $6.59 21h ago
  • 0x5118…092e BUY Yes $1.73 21h ago
  • 0x7e40…3525 BUY Yes $3.10 21h ago
  • 0xb04a…acfc BUY No $180.30 21h ago
  • 0xa0bc…d428 BUY No $300.00 21h ago
  • 0xb1a1…d308 BUY No $26.05 Jul 28
  • 0x6406…bc04 SELL No $0.44 Jul 28
  • 0xbfc9…a788 BUY Yes $31.00 Jul 28
  • 0xbfc9…a788 BUY Yes $17.05 Jul 28
  • 0x5eda…92a7 SELL No $20.39 Jul 28
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $6.79 Jul 27
  • 0x4b9b…7a9f BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xb1a1…d308 BUY No $494.50 Jul 27
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $0.22 Jul 27
  • 0xb924…0803 SELL Yes $0.44 Jul 27
  • 0x74bf…2a6e BUY Yes $9.30 Jul 27
  • 0x74bf…2a6e BUY Yes $8.06 Jul 27
  • 0xb41e…11fd SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 27
  • 0xe581…9f7d SELL No $0.99 Jul 27
  • 0x5cbb…74a2 SELL No $0.99 Jul 27

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Comments

NOIZYUV 1h ago

Exclusive: Ahead of the next round of talks with Lebanon, Israel is drawing a red line and making it clear - we will not withdraw from additional territory in the security zone.

NOIZYUV Jun 26

According to the new agreement, Israel remains in Beaufort, which is beyond the Litani River

oopslostmoney Jun 23

Something significant?

oopslostmoney Jun 22

LBCI @LBCILebanon @BassamAbouZeid has learned that Lebanese President Joseph Aoun expressed support during the call with U.S. and Qatari officials for the establishment of a special coordination cell tasked with permanently consolidating the ceasefire and securing Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon.

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