Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Outcomes
8Recent trades
40- 0x9849…2ee5 SELL Yes $7.92 10m ago
- 0x86a6…1b3e BUY Yes $95.00 25m ago
- 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $1.85 56m ago
- 0xa802…fb96 SELL Yes $1.15 58m ago
- 0xc302…f388 BUY No $500.00 58m ago
- 0x5297…7b99 BUY Yes $7.79 1h ago
- 0x152f…c7e7 BUY Yes $5.00 1h ago
- 0x152f…c7e7 BUY Yes $5.00 1h ago
- 0xdb5f…8d9f BUY No $5.39 1h ago
- 0x2ddb…0fd4 BUY No $5.00 1h ago
- 0x8a1e…bd03 BUY Yes $30.00 1h ago
- 0x4523…0332 SELL No $39.92 1h ago
- 0x4523…0332 BUY No $40.00 1h ago
- 0xf419…ece5 BUY No $47.25 2h ago
- 0xaa1a…39fd BUY No $28.35 2h ago
- 0x500a…c8e4 SELL Yes $43.30 2h ago
- 0x6ea2…e79c SELL No $1.00 2h ago
- 0xbb6c…8ac0 SELL No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x6934…10c6 SELL No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x38f3…4323 SELL No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x30c6…a4fd SELL No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x6ea2…e79c BUY No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x6934…10c6 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
- 0xbb6c…8ac0 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x30c6…a4fd BUY No $1.00 2h ago
- 0x38f3…4323 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
- 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $5.60 2h ago
- 0x47fb…4d63 BUY No $13.70 2h ago
- 0x5297…7b99 BUY Yes $1.78 2h ago
- 0x6604…6beb BUY No $47.25 3h ago
- 0xc15b…38af BUY No $10081.90 3h ago
- 0x3eae…e2ed BUY No $3988.00 3h ago
- 0x1c55…fc47 SELL No $0.99 3h ago
- 0x1c55…fc47 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
- 0x0a6d…1246 SELL No $1484.04 4h ago
- 0x0a6d…1246 BUY No $1485.53 4h ago
- 0xe234…304a SELL Yes $0.05 4h ago
- 0xb4fc…a926 SELL No $3984.00 4h ago
- 0x57c8…2ec4 BUY Yes $17.00 4h ago
- 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $189.00 5h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
Problem with TACO is Iran does not agree. AlJazeera says they just attacked US forces despite prospects of maybe deal. Please Trump I beg you to finish the job.
JUST IN: Trump threatens WIPEOUT of Iranian bridges, power plants AGAIN on FOX NEWS
WTI OIL FUTURES DOWN 5% TO 78, US WAVING WHITE FLAG BY POSSIBLY ACCEPTING IRAN TOLLS, BEARISH
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. This market will never be yes isn't it?
longer
Trump threatens to occupy the island
WTF LOOK AT TRUTH SOCIAL TRUMP IS POSTING RANDOM DESTROYING IRAN AND KHARG POSSIBILITIES
still cheap
Oil dropped $3 in Friday after Iran is possibly TACOing - Pakistan, with support from China, was seeking to revive negotiations between the US and Iran, US thanked China for not intervening in Iran
Blessed are the oil takers, come on
God bless, Mr. Trump publicly said a day or two ago in Axios he was considering massive attack. He already bombed power plants and bridges so maybe Kharg? 3% odds is underrated imo and worth a gamble.
Would you please add the ability to plot trading volume under the line chart?
US to send additional F-16s, F-35s and refueling tankers to Mideast - CNN
Why do you keep buying high and selling low repeatedly? Do you have anay idea how these markets work?
come back when you trade more and make profit, kid
Both side are still attacking each other this morning :)
Oh, the excitement
Reuters - Two US service members in Jordan killed in Iranian attack, US says - Finish the job! Iran = ISIS
Preliminary reports that civilians have been asked to evacuate Kharg island...
Iran says US missiles again hit tanker docked at Kharg Island An empty oil tanker docked at Iran’s Kharg Island was again struck by US missiles, Bushehr deputy governor said on Friday, identifying the vessel as Belma.
That is fantastic to hear
Inshala trump will sink kharg deeper than atlantis
Trump speech was a nothing burger. Voter fraud! zzz he barely discussed Iran
Israel preparing for possible US-Iran escalation next week - Channel 12
Good luck making Kharg hostage. Iran will surrender and accept every demand if US succeeds. US will fail.
Trump never lost a war since he started copy trading, and oil is flowing like never before
Trump is planning to sink Kharg Island with a tactical nuke
Kharg is going to go down like titanic.
Cha-ching
Great predictions
Iran will not allow this to happen. This is the same as if a tactical nuke was placed in Kharg.
Pls open future dates
why no December resolution?
Now what happens if there is a TRUTH SOCIAL POST that declares Kharg under control in US but Iran denies it?
Why you even ask without reading the rules: "An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established"
"Keep the oil, anyone?" is a provocative slogan used by U.S. President Donald Trump in spring 2026 amid rising tensions and a de facto blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.
Wow, so subtly insightful
Explosions heard near Bandar Abbas and Qeshm – Iran's state media Explosions were heard near the southern Iranian city of Bandar Abbas and Qeshm island around midday on Monday, state media reported. The blasts appeared to come from an area some distance from Bandar Abbas, possibly along the city’s western coast, according to the report.
Explosions heard in Iran’s Bandar Abbas The IRNA news agency reports that at least two powerful explosions have been heard in Bandar Abbas, in Iran’s southern Hormozgan province, in the past hour. The report came moments before US Central Command announced that its latest wave of attacks on Iran was over.
No way
Iran will not enter talks until US retreats from positions – IRGC media Tehran will not enter negotiations with the United States unless Washington retreats from its current positions, the IRGC-affiliated Fars News Agency reported Saturday, citing a source close to Iran’s negotiating team.
kharg maxxing
goymaxxxing
US expands attacks into southeastern Iran on second night of strikes Several cities along Iran’s southern coast were targeted, including the important port city of Bandar Abbas, where several explosions were reported. On nearby islands close to the Strait of Hormuz, including Qeshm and Abu Musa, there were also reports of air defence systems being activated, as well as explosions. What was new compared with the night before was the expansion of attacks into southeastern Iran. The cities of Iranshahr, Konarak and Chabahar were all targeted.
Iran will destroy Kharg Island if US tries to occupy it.
letsgo mr TRUMP
BREAKING: TRUML THREATENS TO TAKE OVER KHARG ISLAND Trump: "We may take over Kharg Island. There's not a thing they can do about it. I said 'don't hit the pipes, just hit everything else' and they hit it."
Trump says Iran memorandum is over, calls Tehran leaders 'scums' US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday a memorandum of understanding with Iran aimed at ending the conflict was over, describing Iran's leaders as "liars and scums" and saying he no longer wanted to negotiate with them. "As far as I'm concerned, it's over," Trump told reporters in Ankara before a NATO summit.
no way kharg will remain with iran