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Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Earthquakes Vol. $15,133 50 traders

Yes11%
No89%
$15,133 Vol. Earthquakes
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
12% ▼ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0x86d3…da78 BUY Yes $1.32 11h ago
  • 0x86d3…da78 BUY Yes $1.32 11h ago
  • 0x86d3…da78 BUY Yes $0.17 11h ago
  • 0x86d3…da78 BUY Yes $0.27 11h ago
  • 0x86d3…da78 BUY Yes $0.25 11h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $0.50 14h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $0.57 14h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $0.37 15h ago
  • 0x0a7a…df1b SELL Yes $2.15 15h ago
  • 0x5745…aa5e SELL Yes $11.39 15h ago
  • 0xc465…185c SELL No $49.36 Jul 27
  • 0xaced…7e29 SELL Yes $0.44 Jul 24
  • 0xd69e…498f BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x69b3…14f8 SELL No $12.44 Jul 22
  • 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.61 Jul 21
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.40 Jul 21
  • 0xc465…185c BUY No $4.30 Jul 21
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY No $12.87 Jul 21
  • 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.26 Jul 20
  • 0xdec8…4eec SELL No $0.95 Jul 20
  • 0x9539…da53 SELL No $0.95 Jul 20
  • 0x5131…ab2f SELL No $0.95 Jul 20
  • 0x14e9…80c0 SELL No $0.95 Jul 20
  • 0xdcca…5d53 SELL No $0.95 Jul 20
  • 0x9539…da53 BUY No $1.00 Jul 20

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601). For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point. If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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