Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
Outcomes
5Recent trades
40- 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.31 2h ago
- 0xf057…ab54 SELL Yes $8.83 2h ago
- 0xda00…61b4 SELL Yes $32.12 2h ago
- 0x500a…c8e4 SELL Yes $47.68 2h ago
- 0x500a…c8e4 SELL Yes $49.62 2h ago
- 0x662d…15d7 BUY Yes $10.05 4h ago
- 0xda00…61b4 SELL Yes $7.74 4h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $4.60 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $6.30 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $4.00 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $6.30 5h ago
- 0xda00…61b4 SELL Yes $8.44 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $7.80 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $12.68 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $3.75 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $5.15 5h ago
- 0x184b…67b2 SELL No $1.67 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $8.00 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $15.00 5h ago
- 0x184b…67b2 SELL Yes $1.43 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $12.00 5h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $24.00 5h ago
- 0xaee8…1154 BUY No $214.87 10h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $0.65 12h ago
- 0xb1fe…423a BUY No $26.27 13h ago
- 0x05ac…6d71 BUY No $72.40 15h ago
- 0xbada…d874 BUY Yes $23.75 16h ago
- 0xbada…d874 BUY No $32.44 16h ago
- 0x184b…67b2 BUY Yes $1.43 16h ago
- 0xbada…d874 BUY Yes $16.40 16h ago
- 0x184b…67b2 BUY No $1.44 16h ago
- 0xbada…d874 BUY No $22.40 16h ago
- 0x662d…15d7 BUY Yes $80.64 19h ago
- 0xb41e…11fd SELL Yes $0.14 19h ago
- 0xfe72…9025 BUY Yes $17.90 19h ago
- 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $2.87 19h ago
- 0x7b12…865b SELL No $37.77 19h ago
- 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $66.21 19h ago
- 0xc89e…cf92 SELL No $90.00 19h ago
- 0x7b12…865b SELL No $52.10 19h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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