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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?

AI Vol. $44,729 50 traders

5+26%
<30%
475%
30%
$44,729 Vol. AI

Outcomes

4
Chance
<3
<1%
3
<1%
4
76% ▲ 17
5+
26% ▼ 17

Recent trades

40
  • 0x0fbe…8f74 BUY Yes $5.00 58m ago
  • 0x438f…f1fc BUY No $1.97 1h ago
  • 0xbcf5…9d6f SELL No $5.04 6h ago
  • 0x76e4…dde4 BUY Yes $13.81 6h ago
  • 0x5034…38b7 BUY No $15.40 6h ago
  • 0xbcf5…9d6f BUY No $28.72 6h ago
  • 0xe7e1…eb64 BUY Yes $1.00 7h ago
  • 0x29ef…ddda SELL No $15.20 9h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $1.04 10h ago
  • 0x7e80…631b SELL No $15.91 10h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $7.60 10h ago
  • 0x3901…9761 SELL No $16.20 10h ago
  • 0x0cb1…a76c BUY Yes $34.38 10h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $2.55 10h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $6.21 10h ago
  • 0x0c09…28e6 BUY No $1.10 10h ago
  • 0x29ef…ddda SELL No $3.40 10h ago
  • 0x29ef…ddda SELL Yes $4.60 11h ago
  • 0x3ff1…1be9 BUY Yes $0.27 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.03 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.03 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $22.20 11h ago
  • 0x8f71…719a SELL Yes $15.60 11h ago
  • 0x3ff1…1be9 BUY Yes $3.77 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $14.80 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.02 11h ago
  • 0xdba1…d0e5 SELL Yes $4.60 11h ago
  • 0x6e08…d327 SELL Yes $16.27 11h ago
  • 0x3653…16a0 SELL No $5.20 11h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL No $6.20 11h ago
  • 0x3653…16a0 SELL No $6.00 11h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $6.20 11h ago
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $6.20 11h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $14.04 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $29.92 11h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL Yes $10.15 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.04 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.05 11h ago
  • 0x8f71…719a SELL Yes $11.20 11h ago

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET). Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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