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Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

Aus Vol. $79,599 50 traders

No change96%
25 bps increase3%
25 bps decrease0%
50+ bps increase0%
$79,599 Vol. Aus

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
96% ▲ 7
25 bps increase
3% ▼ 8
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x7bdd…5fb3 BUY Yes $1.88 43m ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.01 43m ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $24.98 43m ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $1.00 43m ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.58 43m ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $23.85 43m ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.31 43m ago
  • 0xb41e…11fd SELL Yes $1.21 44m ago
  • 0x4aa3…11ce SELL Yes $0.00 1h ago
  • 0x25f9…f1f0 SELL Yes $91.31 1h ago
  • 0x0210…4deb BUY Yes $14.56 2h ago
  • 0x0210…4deb BUY Yes $40.74 2h ago
  • 0x7a2d…64fd BUY Yes $20.00 2h ago
  • 0x8397…3dbe BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
  • 0xdd89…4f5d SELL No $1.39 3h ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $23.75 3h ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $4.75 3h ago
  • 0x4435…786f SELL Yes $19.02 3h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $15.54 3h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.05 3h ago
  • 0xa235…f6ef BUY Yes $10.00 4h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $79.92 4h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $84.92 4h ago
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $2.32 4h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $1.86 4h ago
  • 0xcdf5…e344 SELL No $0.20 4h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $1.70 4h ago
  • 0x2cfe…e4de BUY No $2.00 4h ago
  • 0x4ae5…6079 SELL No $0.80 4h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.32 4h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.01 4h ago
  • 0x4d1d…01ac BUY No $4.05 4h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $6.42 4h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $313.25 4h ago
  • 0xc419…ca5b BUY No $14.98 4h ago
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $5.00 4h ago
  • 0xf333…ba41 SELL No $0.50 4h ago
  • 0xd0bc…7714 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $4.88 4h ago
  • 0xd0bc…7714 BUY No $48.80 4h ago

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 10-11, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-meetings/). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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