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Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

AI Vol. $14,609 50 traders

Moonshot38%
Alibaba53%
Z.ai8%
Baidu4%
$14,609 Vol. AI

Outcomes

25
Chance
Alibaba
53% ▲ 12
Moonshot
38% ▼ 13
Baidu
6% ▲ 4
Z.ai
8% ▲ 3
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
4% ▼ 1
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
1% ▼ 7
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xbc1f…8f78 BUY Yes $3.50 5h ago
  • 0x7365…64da BUY Yes $3.50 5h ago
  • 0x914a…9642 BUY Yes $5.00 6h ago
  • 0x1073…d8ba BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $88.74 6h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $38.70 6h ago
  • 0x9495…468f SELL No $0.37 6h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $16.40 6h ago
  • 0x7365…64da BUY Yes $42.91 6h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $94.30 6h ago
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $39.92 6h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $37.60 6h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $94.12 6h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $39.88 6h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $91.97 6h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $38.70 6h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL Yes $1.61 12h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $5.10 15h ago
  • 0x6236…6881 SELL No $5.60 15h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.94 15h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $9.70 15h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $9.97 15h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.61 15h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $11.14 20h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $3.92 20h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $10.02 20h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $3.50 20h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $19.80 20h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.96 20h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.84 20h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $19.44 20h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $19.84 20h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $19.12 20h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.73 20h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.98 20h ago
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $6.00 Jul 28
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $5.00 Jul 28
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.94 Jul 28
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.43 Jul 28
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.97 Jul 28

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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