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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

Oil Vol. $3,946,420 78 traders

August 3110%
August 153%
$3,946,420 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

2
Chance
August 31
10% ▼ 3
August 15
3% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3fd3…2f78 BUY No $14.90 3m ago
  • 0x4353…86fe SELL Yes $15.68 47m ago
  • 0x4558…c31f BUY Yes $1.00 50m ago
  • 0x0770…184b SELL Yes $90.00 54m ago
  • 0xf3f3…aa9f BUY Yes $1.00 58m ago
  • 0xa801…7310 SELL No $10.17 1h ago
  • 0x5b8d…a1ae BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
  • 0x3feb…5c95 SELL Yes $7.50 1h ago
  • 0xe57e…a300 BUY Yes $2.00 1h ago
  • 0x4b2d…f0d4 BUY No $909.09 1h ago
  • 0x46f2…2dcf SELL Yes $13.62 1h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $334.07 1h ago
  • 0xe807…4d35 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x225d…1fa1 BUY Yes $5.00 1h ago
  • 0x4f00…71b9 BUY No $10.00 1h ago
  • 0xb758…2b0f SELL Yes $3.21 1h ago
  • 0x6cbd…e951 SELL Yes $2.65 1h ago
  • 0xfcdc…4281 SELL No $4.97 1h ago
  • 0xfcdc…4281 BUY No $5.00 1h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $450.00 1h ago
  • 0xaf30…cc97 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xfc33…dc4d BUY No $17.29 1h ago
  • 0xe7dd…a02a SELL No $58.50 2h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL No $664.15 2h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $240.05 2h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL No $784.67 2h ago
  • 0xa801…7310 BUY No $10.28 2h ago
  • 0xa801…7310 BUY Yes $1.47 2h ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $1.40 2h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL No $180.00 2h ago
  • 0x06ac…79ec BUY No $1049.84 2h ago
  • 0x7761…f504 BUY No $2.70 2h ago
  • 0xa801…7310 SELL Yes $1.54 2h ago
  • 0xc6ac…12b2 BUY No $19.52 2h ago
  • 0x5b1d…8895 BUY No $2.48 2h ago
  • 0xcc03…d5c0 SELL No $23238.89 2h ago
  • 0xa801…7310 BUY Yes $1.91 3h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL No $149.53 3h ago
  • 0xa801…7310 BUY Yes $2.71 3h ago
  • 0xa7c5…468d BUY No $25.00 3h ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for August 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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