Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Recent trades
25- 0x74c6…5e64 BUY Yes $148.49 17m ago
- 0x5b8d…a1ae BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
- 0x40d4…9cfc BUY Yes $20.00 2h ago
- 0x1f7d…aa8d SELL Yes $315.00 2h ago
- 0xea55…5bb0 BUY Yes $239.14 3h ago
- 0x3387…c3f7 BUY Yes $50.40 3h ago
- 0x5b1d…8895 BUY Yes $2.87 3h ago
- 0xc044…0242 BUY Yes $1.57 3h ago
- 0xf0df…69c5 BUY No $2370.00 3h ago
- 0xa636…3c2f BUY Yes $2.00 3h ago
- 0xa7a1…ac2d SELL Yes $1.91 3h ago
- 0xa7a1…ac2d BUY Yes $2.00 3h ago
- 0xd0dd…f987 BUY Yes $4.90 4h ago
- 0xd347…b528 BUY Yes $10.00 4h ago
- 0x86ee…511f BUY Yes $10.21 4h ago
- 0x15b2…e199 BUY Yes $1.00 4h ago
- 0xafaf…3ce1 BUY Yes $1.50 4h ago
- 0x5040…96cf SELL Yes $21.00 4h ago
- 0x3f3b…1d77 BUY No $790.00 6h ago
- 0xf66f…d714 SELL Yes $51.40 6h ago
- 0xc9dc…8624 BUY No $80.00 7h ago
- 0xb583…939e BUY Yes $11.00 7h ago
- 0x2574…144b BUY No $150.00 7h ago
- 0xca23…f403 BUY Yes $22.00 7h ago
- 0x0e2c…9294 BUY Yes $22.00 7h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for September 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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