Sign Up
← Markets

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

World Vol. $210,419 50 traders

Yes4%
No96%
$210,419 Vol. World
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
4% ▼ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0x23a8…95be BUY No $20.00 4h ago
  • 0x1b08…2946 SELL No $4.95 4h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $0.60 17h ago
  • 0x2889…9226 SELL Yes $259.19 17h ago
  • 0xf665…d8b4 BUY No $85.00 21h ago
  • 0xa0d8…dfd3 SELL No $0.99 Jul 28
  • 0xfcdb…641c SELL No $0.99 Jul 28
  • 0x8842…e4fd SELL No $0.99 Jul 28
  • 0x986b…1fdd SELL No $0.99 Jul 28
  • 0xa02b…5928 SELL No $0.99 Jul 28
  • 0xa0d8…dfd3 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0xfcdb…641c BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0x8842…e4fd BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0x986b…1fdd BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0xa02b…5928 BUY No $1.00 Jul 28
  • 0xe2b3…b00d BUY No $1.77 Jul 28
  • 0x61be…f08b BUY No $1.77 Jul 28
  • 0xa86f…022c SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 28
  • 0x48f9…e61d SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 28
  • 0x43fd…59d3 SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 27
  • 0xf24f…80e3 BUY Yes $1.50 Jul 27
  • 0x083b…a478 BUY No $100.00 Jul 27
  • 0xea40…86b9 SELL No $7.52 Jul 27
  • 0xa0bc…d428 BUY Yes $6.43 Jul 27
  • 0x467f…17e8 BUY No $80.00 Jul 26

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not. Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify. The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments