Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
Outcomes
2Recent trades
40- 0x3ad6…3023 BUY Yes $1.00 28m ago
- 0x2884…d0c3 BUY No $17.19 29m ago
- 0x6643…d6cb BUY No $4.93 30m ago
- 0x4b07…7912 SELL No $15.20 41m ago
- 0xb47f…d792 BUY Yes $74.50 43m ago
- 0xc4c1…7324 BUY No $89.02 59m ago
- 0x86a3…9b04 SELL Yes $15.28 1h ago
- 0xb352…fbea SELL Yes $15.27 1h ago
- 0x9746…8609 SELL Yes $15.56 1h ago
- 0x920e…336c SELL Yes $15.20 1h ago
- 0xaf32…2c51 SELL Yes $15.52 1h ago
- 0xdbb5…4618 SELL No $12.78 1h ago
- 0x88d8…1c0c SELL Yes $15.52 1h ago
- 0x438c…e482 SELL Yes $15.06 1h ago
- 0x666c…2c96 SELL Yes $14.99 1h ago
- 0x5852…d05a SELL Yes $15.73 1h ago
- 0xae20…7407 SELL No $63.89 1h ago
- 0x158c…0612 SELL Yes $15.73 1h ago
- 0x7b0c…2fe6 BUY No $448.77 2h ago
- 0x6e3c…1992 BUY No $433.06 2h ago
- 0xf27c…9290 BUY No $436.55 2h ago
- 0x0c97…1314 BUY No $445.37 2h ago
- 0x9de4…38ed BUY No $441.90 2h ago
- 0x579b…8606 BUY No $436.01 2h ago
- 0x58f1…4fad BUY No $446.36 2h ago
- 0x0051…c6e6 BUY No $451.26 2h ago
- 0x95bb…8a19 BUY No $464.49 2h ago
- 0xdbb5…4618 BUY No $444.85 2h ago
- 0x6ca2…b4ff BUY No $444.39 2h ago
- 0xa032…679e SELL No $16.38 2h ago
- 0x2884…d0c3 BUY No $31.58 4h ago
- 0x1ac8…5063 SELL Yes $4.80 11h ago
- 0xe215…1c22 BUY Yes $1.50 13h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $5.50 14h ago
- 0xeaa9…1737 SELL Yes $0.46 15h ago
- 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $3.04 15h ago
- 0xa0bc…d428 BUY No $89.06 15h ago
- 0xbc1f…8f78 BUY No $9.99 15h ago
- 0x4435…786f BUY No $30.50 15h ago
- 0xa0bc…d428 BUY No $100.00 15h ago
On July 25, 2026, Ukraine said it struck the cargo vessels Port Olya 2 and Begey in the Caspian Sea, alleging that they were involved in transporting military cargo between Russia and Iran. You can read more about the strikes here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-ukraine-killed-11-tourist-camp-ukraine-strikes-russian-refinery-2026-07-25/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a strike against any vessel in the Caspian Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a vessel anywhere in the Caspian Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level. Strikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed. Ship seizures, boarding, or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. An intercepted missile or drone that does not impact the vessel will not qualify, even if debris lands on or near the vessel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (EET) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the incident, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
Comments