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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Iran Vol. $1,680,877 50 traders

July 317%
July 240%
August 1533%
August 3151%
$1,680,877 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

9
Chance
July 24 Resolved
0% ▼ 2
July 31
7% ▼ 7
August 15
33% ▼ 2
August 31
51% ▼ 5
July 14 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
December 31
88% ▲ 4
September 30
69% ▲ 1
October 31
84% ▲ 5
August 7
21% ▼ 4

Recent trades

40
  • 0xd347…b528 BUY Yes $15.00 4m ago
  • 0x3694…bd9e BUY Yes $9.92 5m ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $2.32 5m ago
  • 0x3387…c3f7 BUY Yes $9.79 5m ago
  • 0x5b1d…8895 BUY Yes $2.94 5m ago
  • 0xde40…7f79 BUY Yes $1.00 5m ago
  • 0x2b62…5203 SELL Yes $128.00 5m ago
  • 0x5cd5…ac33 BUY No $407.02 8m ago
  • 0x04b3…1b7e SELL No $1.74 16m ago
  • 0x3ab5…e56f SELL No $279.00 16m ago
  • 0xf6e6…945b SELL No $1.23 25m ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL No $7.99 29m ago
  • 0x118d…67a8 SELL Yes $25.00 29m ago
  • 0x04b3…1b7e SELL No $1.15 31m ago
  • 0x3ab5…e56f SELL No $186.00 31m ago
  • 0x5961…05f0 BUY No $1.00 55m ago
  • 0xf6e6…945b BUY No $1.45 58m ago
  • 0xe882…4386 SELL Yes $5.86 1h ago
  • 0xe882…4386 BUY Yes $6.00 1h ago
  • 0xd098…c290 SELL No $1.66 1h ago
  • 0xd098…c290 SELL No $6.21 1h ago
  • 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY No $32.50 1h ago
  • 0xb87f…f7d4 SELL Yes $0.87 2h ago
  • 0x0711…f03c SELL Yes $1.08 2h ago
  • 0x04b3…1b7e SELL No $1.15 2h ago
  • 0x3ab5…e56f SELL No $186.00 2h ago
  • 0x0c2c…dce3 BUY No $10.00 2h ago
  • 0xa1a9…07ff SELL No $18.85 2h ago
  • 0x215a…254c SELL No $3.23 2h ago
  • 0xf7e1…4b23 BUY Yes $14.59 2h ago
  • 0x2029…3124 BUY No $48.88 2h ago
  • 0x86ee…511f SELL No $8.80 2h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $12.02 2h ago
  • 0x4d5b…acdc BUY No $5.44 2h ago
  • 0x998e…2ac3 BUY No $1533.00 2h ago
  • 0x67c9…1ef1 BUY No $41.85 3h ago
  • 0xaf94…cb49 SELL Yes $2.45 3h ago
  • 0xaf94…cb49 SELL No $2.45 3h ago
  • 0x86ee…511f SELL No $3.35 3h ago
  • 0x993c…6787 SELL Yes $140.00 3h ago

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.

Comments

NOIZYUV 3h ago

A senior Iranian official said Tehran has rejected Oman's proposal for regional joint management of the Strait of Hormuz as unworkable

BrightStars 7h ago

n is cheap

MEPP 7h ago

noppp

adasol 16h ago

US forces turn back 18 ships in Iran blockade, CENTCOM says The US military says it has redirected 18 commercial vessels as part of its ongoing blockade against Iran. US Central Command said its forces have also disabled two ships and boarded two more to check they were complying with the blockade. CENTCOM said that more than 20 warships are now deployed across the Middle East to enforce what Washington has dubbed a “steel wall” around Iranian waters.

clark. 17h ago

Oman's proposal appears acceptable to both sides. However, the word "(region)" implicitly acknowledges that part of the strait belongs to Iran, making it an international shipping route. How large, long, and wide is this region?

RuggedByMyself 18h ago

sorry not sorry i don't make the rules i just collect the money yoppp

BrightStars 20h ago

yopp

yungsoleimani 20h ago

you just a little kid man u should try copytrading yungsoleimani

BrightStars 20h ago

yungsoleimani's first miss. sorry not sorry

SIMOMEGA 19h ago

its not ending that early

yungsoleimani 18h ago

@brightstars ill switch to Y why is this dude on my side

BrightStars 18h ago

you still have time to switch

yungsoleimani 21h ago

NEGOTIATE UNDER FIRE!

MEPP Jul 28

nop

InsderEpstien Jul 25

he is tacoing

adasol Jul 23

US State Department tells citizens in Middle East to prepare for potential flight cancellations due to Iran war The US State Department has issued an advisory urging US citizens in West Asia to be prepared for emergency travel situations due to potential flight cancellations and disruptions to air travel as a result of the Iran war.

adasol Jul 22

Trump says US ‘not finished at all’ as Iran attacks continue US President Donald Trump has met with Lebanese leader Joseph Aoun in Washington, DC. It was the first time a Lebanese head of state has visited the White House since 2009. While Trump hailed his relationship with Aoun, he also had strong words for Tehran.

adasol Jul 20

US begins 10th consecutive night of Iran strikes, CENTCOM says US forces began a new round of strikes against Iran at 4 p.m. ET on Monday at the direction of the commander in chief, CENTCOM said in a post on X.

adasol Jul 20

US to send additional F-16s, F-35s and refueling tankers to Mideast - CNN

clark. Jul 20

Trump's blockade of Iran at sea is a military strategy. A 10-day ceasefire with Iran, if agreed to by Trump, would actually result in Iran being under blockade during the ceasefire period. As for both a ceasefire and the lifting of the blockade, in my view, the US government will not accept such a losing proposition. If these negotiations go smoothly, the lifting of the maritime blockade may be scheduled for the next round of negotiations.

SIMOMEGA Jul 19

why is spread so high for august 15

ArieLethal Jul 18

Go to the market. Will Israel close the sky until. It's worth buying. Yes, you can make a profit.

abdoohl Jul 18

You wouldnt lie to us in order to make a profit, would you Arie?

SIMOMEGA Jul 18

uhm, wrong punctuation

Eric.Kevin Jul 17

whowho

Richdale Jul 16

are we back discussing this crap again ...whose knows what that clown will do

Heikeel1 Jul 15

perps code 01fwn6jq

RigatoniROI Jul 15

Perps code: 00aaoaac

abdoohl Jul 14

And why so long rules, why not just copy paste rules from original market? It wasnt never any problems with those rules, why reinvent the wheel??

abdoohl Jul 14

Why its US why its not Trump? Why its not Trump announce like last time, and why its ugly thumbnail, why not have same thumbnail as original market??

0xqx Jul 13

when schizophrenia talks, you listen

yungsoleimani Jul 13

you just a little kid man

yungsoleimani Jul 13

sorry i dont make the rules i just collect the money

yungsoleimani Jul 13

all the money will be cejqq’s