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US charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran Vol. $872,039 50 traders

July 170%
July 310%
August 312%
December 3110%
$872,039 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

4
Chance
July 17 Resolved
0%
July 31
<1%
August 31
2%
December 31
10% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $2.35 31m ago
  • 0xcc79…1c2a BUY No $672.04 1h ago
  • 0x2b56…598d BUY No $49.85 1h ago
  • 0xa8a7…3252 BUY Yes $2.00 2h ago
  • 0x30b2…1a36 BUY No $9.84 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $20.10 3h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $20.10 5h ago
  • 0x0774…8d46 BUY No $10.00 5h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.60 6h ago
  • 0xef8c…32bf BUY No $12.00 6h ago
  • 0xa05f…5ceb BUY No $15.00 7h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $1.05 12h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 BUY Yes $5.99 13h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $2.38 18h ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 SELL Yes $4.16 18h ago
  • 0xcaab…24dd SELL No $497.58 18h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $2.06 18h ago
  • 0xb4f6…eada SELL No $0.24 18h ago
  • 0x184b…67b2 SELL No $2.02 18h ago
  • 0xb5c4…cb3b BUY No $35.64 18h ago
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $1.30 18h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $2.19 18h ago
  • 0x5437…895a SELL No $8.60 18h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.42 18h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.03 18h ago
  • 0x4108…17b1 BUY No $3.55 18h ago
  • 0xb4f6…eada BUY No $25.13 18h ago
  • 0x0f18…5b28 BUY No $15.00 18h ago
  • 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.75 18h ago
  • 0x3024…b91e SELL No $2.10 18h ago
  • 0xb100…6461 BUY No $5773.10 18h ago
  • 0x184b…67b2 BUY No $2.03 18h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL No $2.38 21h ago
  • 0xcaab…24dd SELL No $498.00 21h ago
  • 0x93ed…7e69 SELL No $3.03 22h ago
  • 0x88f2…a6c1 SELL Yes $0.37 Jul 28
  • 0x30b2…1a36 BUY No $29.40 Jul 28
  • 0xfc70…69bc SELL No $1.13 Jul 28
  • 0x14a3…076e SELL Yes $0.27 Jul 27

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement. The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

RigatoniROI Jul 14

Perps code: 00aaoaac

conotocaurius Jul 14

The underlying value of Dec 31st is 2c; the underlying value of the other dates is 0c.

NoSteinNoGate Jul 14

People on poly significantly overprice very unlikely events

variant1.meta Jul 15

For this market the title is misleading a bit. In fact you can call it "will anyone pay the US anything for Hormuz security by Dec 31". Does not sound like 2c.

conotocaurius Jul 15

no, it really does sound like 2c. The US will never be allowed by Iran to offer protection money in Hormuz. Potentially in other waters like Panama or Malacca, where there is not an incumbent great power on the littoral.

deadinternettheory Jul 14

Permanent peace btw