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USMCA extended in 2026?

Trump Vol. $6,206 50 traders

Yes38%
No63%
$6,206 Vol. Trump
USMCA extended in 2026?
38% ▲ 4

Recent trades

25
  • 0x3eb3…23b2 SELL Yes $0.10 4h ago
  • 0xc0c2…b14d SELL No $0.83 9h ago
  • 0x5219…9781 BUY Yes $300.00 19h ago
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $10.55 19h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $11.36 19h ago
  • 0xda00…61b4 SELL Yes $1.15 20h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $12.00 20h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $15.23 21h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL Yes $8.00 21h ago
  • 0x74f1…16a8 BUY No $425.10 21h ago
  • 0xc0c2…b14d BUY No $1.09 21h ago
  • 0x0787…0ca3 BUY No $55.20 21h ago
  • 0xd026…d74b SELL No $53.67 Jul 28
  • 0x08a6…f3cc BUY No $3.00 Jul 28
  • 0x08a6…f3cc BUY No $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0x00cd…c0ae SELL No $3.25 Jul 24
  • 0x60a8…7d37 SELL No $38.16 Jul 24
  • 0x60a8…7d37 SELL No $9.90 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.42 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $1.60 Jul 24
  • 0xe8c4…ea5c SELL No $9.90 Jul 24
  • 0xe8c4…ea5c SELL No $3.30 Jul 24
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $3.79 Jul 24
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $3.99 Jul 24
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $200.00 Jul 24

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement. The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement. The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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