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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech Vol. $412,596 50 traders

Anthropic68%
ByteDance0%
Moonshot3%
OpenAI9%
$412,596 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

26
Chance
Google
12% ▲ 1
Anthropic
68% ▲ 4
OpenAI
9% ▼ 1
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
3% ▼ 1
DeepSeek
2%
Moonshot
3% ▲ 1
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
2%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Company A
0%
Company B
0%
Company C
0%
Company D
0%
Company E
0%
Company F
0%
Company G
0%
Company H
0%
Company I
0%
Company K
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x4595…158c BUY Yes $311.81 15m ago
  • 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $77.75 42m ago
  • 0x2d62…0a41 BUY Yes $2.70 3h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $8.65 7h ago
  • 0x2b73…174e SELL Yes $30.00 7h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $33.00 7h ago
  • 0xe62e…cc81 BUY Yes $200.00 8h ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $2.00 10h ago
  • 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $2.49 11h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $0.75 11h ago
  • 0x2b73…174e SELL No $20.03 11h ago
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $19.40 13h ago
  • 0xd16b…36c0 BUY Yes $69.00 14h ago
  • 0x53f8…5ce0 BUY Yes $2.00 15h ago
  • 0x325f…8e0e BUY Yes $205.05 15h ago
  • 0x82cd…d7d8 SELL No $0.62 17h ago
  • 0x5072…6603 BUY Yes $3.00 17h ago
  • 0x796b…783e BUY Yes $2.00 17h ago
  • 0x42b5…18f6 BUY Yes $2.00 17h ago
  • 0x2f7a…6bd7 BUY Yes $2.00 17h ago
  • 0xf54e…1a7c BUY Yes $2.00 17h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $7.64 17h ago
  • 0x2b73…174e SELL No $17.51 17h ago
  • 0xad06…b912 BUY Yes $2.50 17h ago
  • 0x2ca9…fe9c SELL Yes $106.53 18h ago
  • 0x2ca9…fe9c SELL Yes $134.46 18h ago
  • 0x05f7…22bc SELL No $4.06 18h ago
  • 0x05f7…22bc SELL No $1.48 18h ago
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL No $5.60 18h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $5.69 18h ago
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $5.80 18h ago
  • 0xfc92…27c9 SELL No $9.00 18h ago
  • 0x82fb…bed6 SELL No $6.00 18h ago
  • 0x9219…5285 BUY Yes $92.79 18h ago
  • 0xe33d…bdec BUY Yes $5.08 18h ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL No $17.10 23h ago
  • 0x3621…9da2 SELL Yes $4.90 23h ago
  • 0xf18c…18c1 SELL No $33.00 23h ago
  • 0x3653…16a0 SELL No $13.20 23h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $14.78 23h ago

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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