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Which company has best AI model end of July?

Tech Vol. $8,063,951 161 traders

Anthropic100%
OpenAI0%
Google0%
xAI0%
$8,063,951 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

26
Chance
Google
<1%
Anthropic
>99%
OpenAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Company A
0%
Company B
0%
Company C
0%
Company D
0%
Company E
0%
Company F
0%
Company G
0%
Company H
0%
Company I
0%
Company K
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x789a…1dda SELL Yes $14.94 12m ago
  • 0x12f4…2e5e SELL Yes $1523.88 28m ago
  • 0x8318…75a9 BUY Yes $9.90 31m ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY No $1.44 35m ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 SELL No $1.00 36m ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY No $1.44 36m ago
  • 0x6d1b…1bec BUY Yes $3997.99 45m ago
  • 0xf20e…1b5c SELL Yes $60.76 55m ago
  • 0xfc9f…5a32 SELL Yes $65.74 1h ago
  • 0x6d1b…1bec BUY Yes $151.39 1h ago
  • 0x6d1b…1bec BUY Yes $3348.37 1h ago
  • 0x4a5c…9333 BUY Yes $31.00 1h ago
  • 0x7b92…8164 BUY Yes $26.00 1h ago
  • 0xfc9f…5a32 BUY Yes $65.80 1h ago
  • 0x3a42…029d BUY Yes $25.00 1h ago
  • 0xcc79…1c2a BUY Yes $997.00 1h ago
  • 0xf20e…1b5c BUY Yes $60.82 1h ago
  • 0x348e…0677 BUY Yes $20.00 1h ago
  • 0x0968…1829 BUY Yes $5.58 1h ago
  • 0x4f72…2875 BUY No $9.80 1h ago
  • 0x4f72…2875 BUY Yes $15.00 1h ago
  • 0xe0b9…0f4a BUY Yes $16.00 1h ago
  • 0x33b9…c9fb BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x6153…9940 SELL Yes $790.85 2h ago
  • 0xc5d6…04d8 SELL No $23.00 2h ago
  • 0xd979…6f8a BUY Yes $89.73 3h ago
  • 0x69d0…accb BUY Yes $1.20 3h ago
  • 0x96e5…6f0b BUY No $13.10 3h ago
  • 0xb881…3cf6 BUY No $11.50 3h ago
  • 0x417d…e457 BUY No $13.20 3h ago
  • 0xa828…bdd6 BUY No $13.60 3h ago
  • 0xb991…e323 BUY No $22.50 3h ago
  • 0x3e68…760f SELL Yes $14.15 3h ago
  • 0xec64…81b3 BUY No $1.00 5h ago
  • 0x6b92…674a SELL No $8.58 5h ago
  • 0x9da9…0505 SELL No $19.98 6h ago
  • 0xf6e2…b761 BUY No $10.00 6h ago
  • 0xd5c3…67e2 BUY No $5.30 6h ago
  • 0x369d…7df2 BUY No $21.00 6h ago
  • 0xf3fc…1d82 BUY No $10.00 7h ago

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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