Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?
Recent trades
25- 0xc624…ee24 BUY No $400.00 14h ago
- 0x54fb…e7f3 BUY Yes $0.32 15h ago
- 0x11f3…d859 BUY No $3376.29 19h ago
- 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $279.16 19h ago
- 0xe766…95f0 BUY No $3.12 Jul 28
- 0xd0f2…5ccd BUY No $9.33 Jul 28
- 0xceba…97fa BUY No $5.44 Jul 28
- 0x4b18…689d BUY No $3.88 Jul 28
- 0x1886…7018 BUY No $2.55 Jul 27
- 0xcf38…7715 BUY No $4.12 Jul 27
- 0x4478…02a4 BUY No $54.40 Jul 26
- 0x4478…02a4 BUY No $443.22 Jul 25
- 0x74c3…bbe6 BUY Yes $1.20 Jul 24
- 0x8f9c…8838 BUY No $1.00 Jul 16
- 0xad60…9169 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 16
- 0x36a6…c85c SELL Yes $0.11 Jul 14
- 0x8a78…4898 BUY No $1.00 Jul 12
- 0x4478…02a4 BUY No $798.99 Jul 11
- 0x9d73…216b BUY No $195.50 Jul 7
- 0xb04a…acfc SELL No $18.10 Jul 7
- 0xb04a…acfc BUY No $18.17 Jul 7
- 0xa0bc…d428 BUY No $30.22 Jul 7
- 0xb04a…acfc SELL No $58.33 Jul 5
- 0xb04a…acfc BUY No $58.61 Jul 5
- 0xa0bc…d428 BUY No $97.60 Jul 5
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
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