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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
Recent trades
25- 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 3m ago
- 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 3m ago
- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 7m ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 7m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 10m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 10m ago
- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 12m ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 13m ago
- 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 14m ago
- 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 14m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 15m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 16m ago
- 0xfa8c…3610 SELL No $9.98 22m ago
- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 26m ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 26m ago
- 0x6668…be1c SELL Yes $7.60 30m ago
- 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 30m ago
- 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 31m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 33m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 33m ago
- 0x6668…be1c SELL Yes $11.40 38m ago
- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 38m ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 38m ago
- 0x6c39…0b36 SELL Yes $3.83 46m ago
- 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 52m ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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