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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
Recent trades
25- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 3m ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 3m ago
- 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 9m ago
- 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 9m ago
- 0xe743…e7d7 BUY Yes $10.00 11m ago
- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 12m ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 12m ago
- 0xd0a1…ba88 BUY No $20.00 38m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.97 38m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 38m ago
- 0xe284…9364 SELL No $16.23 41m ago
- 0x9be4…833c BUY No $20.00 43m ago
- 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.97 48m ago
- 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 48m ago
- 0x9b2c…2151 BUY Yes $13.20 52m ago
- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.97 54m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.97 54m ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 54m ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 54m ago
- 0x5949…83e0 BUY No $10.00 55m ago
- 0xcd77…2e62 SELL Yes $1.73 1h ago
- 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.97 1h ago
- 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 1h ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.97 1h ago
- 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 1h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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