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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

China Vol. $2,245,834 50 traders

Yes13%
No88%
$2,245,834 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
13% ▼ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0x215a…254c SELL No $305.37 40m ago
  • 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $1000.00 40m ago
  • 0xf7e1…4b23 SELL No $12.47 2h ago
  • 0xc40c…5577 BUY No $176.00 2h ago
  • 0x79c9…8573 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x215a…254c SELL No $187.75 4h ago
  • 0x215a…254c SELL No $435.00 4h ago
  • 0x215a…254c SELL No $435.00 5h ago
  • 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $1199.06 5h ago
  • 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $500.00 5h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $10.97 6h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $17.30 6h ago
  • 0x3395…06a0 BUY No $12.00 6h ago
  • 0x157d…ea74 BUY No $4.00 7h ago
  • 0x1a00…fb0d BUY No $14.00 7h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $15.23 7h ago
  • 0x00b1…0533 SELL No $8.60 8h ago
  • 0x87fa…7464 SELL No $1046.61 8h ago
  • 0x39df…dbe9 BUY No $50.00 9h ago
  • 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $1000.00 13h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 SELL Yes $1.02 16h ago
  • 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $2500.00 17h ago
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $435.00 17h ago
  • 0x8bc8…97dc BUY No $1153.39 17h ago
  • 0xd600…b66e BUY Yes $3.62 17h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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