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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

China Vol. $1,432,267 50 traders

Yes1%
No99%
$1,432,267 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%

Recent trades

25
  • 0xc40c…5577 BUY No $268.12 2h ago
  • 0x19b8…0c6c BUY Yes $5.00 3h ago
  • 0x026f…72da SELL No $6.01 6h ago
  • 0xa09a…2b5d BUY No $2.00 6h ago
  • 0xd8d2…2fd3 SELL No $2.00 7h ago
  • 0x9dc5…d6b7 SELL No $98.50 7h ago
  • 0x3b09…bdcd BUY No $100.00 9h ago
  • 0x9159…f1a8 SELL No $1.00 19h ago
  • 0x3ead…d177 BUY No $100.00 20h ago
  • 0xb8a2…14f4 BUY No $2.80 22h ago
  • 0x215a…87ea BUY No $1.13 Jul 28
  • 0x806e…164f BUY No $1.05 Jul 28
  • 0x4482…20c5 BUY No $175.00 Jul 28
  • 0xc875…e567 BUY No $4.18 Jul 28
  • 0xd44a…e910 BUY No $4.38 Jul 28
  • 0x1cb7…3ab7 BUY No $1.76 Jul 28
  • 0xec97…2fbd BUY No $3.50 Jul 27
  • 0xa5a5…a4b6 SELL Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0x6e0b…8552 BUY No $4.21 Jul 27
  • 0xfb17…abeb SELL Yes $0.70 Jul 27
  • 0xfb17…abeb BUY Yes $0.80 Jul 27
  • 0xde76…0ee6 SELL No $15.11 Jul 27
  • 0x7fca…8746 BUY No $98.60 Jul 27
  • 0x8eeb…4962 BUY No $147.90 Jul 27
  • 0xe97c…ceef SELL Yes $1.87 Jul 26

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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