Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
Outcomes
2Recent trades
40- 0xfd79…a4c4 BUY Yes $4.63 4m ago
- 0xceca…3f67 BUY No $100.00 36m ago
- 0xa5c2…1bbe BUY Yes $1.00 42m ago
- 0x30de…1f9d BUY Yes $5.00 45m ago
- 0x7a1f…3cd1 SELL Yes $8.08 1h ago
- 0x4bbd…5900 SELL Yes $8.08 1h ago
- 0x82a5…09db SELL Yes $6.73 1h ago
- 0xdeff…2d45 SELL Yes $39.04 1h ago
- 0xc33c…5a13 SELL Yes $39.04 1h ago
- 0x0242…9076 SELL Yes $0.17 1h ago
- 0x0242…9076 SELL Yes $39.00 1h ago
- 0x219c…60b8 SELL Yes $39.20 1h ago
- 0xfcef…864f SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0x0812…1e19 SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0xc094…b341 SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0xd1e1…cc4a SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0x040f…1504 SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0xb38e…6adb SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0x8768…4bb1 SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0x78e4…a906 SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0xc33b…4995 SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0xe3e4…5f62 SELL No $0.98 1h ago
- 0xfcef…864f BUY No $1.00 1h ago
- 0x0812…1e19 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
- 0xc094…b341 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
- 0xd1e1…cc4a BUY No $1.00 1h ago
- 0x040f…1504 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
- 0x60bd…45b1 BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
- 0x0331…f5c7 SELL Yes $7.56 3h ago
- 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.40 4h ago
- 0x371c…c236 SELL Yes $23.60 4h ago
- 0x1ff9…e563 BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
- 0x4629…f3b1 SELL Yes $0.29 7h ago
- 0x03a2…dc06 BUY No $40.00 9h ago
- 0x8d88…92e1 BUY Yes $1.00 10h ago
- 0xb5c4…cb3b SELL No $14.37 10h ago
- 0xad52…11ac BUY Yes $72.00 11h ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $17.76 11h ago
- 0x21a6…7442 SELL No $2.42 11h ago
- 0xb5c4…cb3b BUY No $14.85 11h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Ukraine through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Ukraine. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered. A military action will be considered directed at Ukraine if it is directed at the terrestrial territory of Ukraine, including any internal waters. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
Hope they do, hope they burn down that whole rotten shitty project
— 🇺🇦/🇮🇷 NEW: Head of Ukraine’s State Service of Special Communications and Information Protection, Andriy Kovalenko, announces there is currently ‘no confirmed information’ about an expected Iranian missile attack against the territory of Ukraine @Middle_East_Spectator
MES is highly unreliable
Keep holding Y dumfuq
You follow MES and I'm the dumfuq... sure bro 🤣🤣
sad
Highly unusual reports have emerged over the past hour from sources linked to the Ukrainian military, warning of a possible medium-range ballistic missile attack on Ukraine within the next 24 hours. Treat these reports with caution.
🐷🐷🐷🐷🐷🐷🧨🧨🧨🧨🧨🧖♀️🧖♀️🧖♀️🧖♀️🧖♀️