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Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Privates Vol. $41,513 50 traders

↑$12.5B28%
↑$10B55%
↓$6B20%
↓$7B65%
$41,513 Vol. Privates

Outcomes

8
Chance
↑$15B
21% ▼ 20
↑$12.5B
28% ▼ 30
↑$10B
55% ▼ 8
↑$9B
69% ▲ 3
↑$8B Resolved
100% ▲ 7
↓$7B
65% ▼ 4
↓$6B
20%
↓$5B
15%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xf17d…6f86 SELL No $5.46 10h ago
  • 0xf17d…6f86 SELL Yes $8.96 10h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $12.66 10h ago
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL Yes $13.00 11h ago
  • 0x672f…26aa BUY No $5.00 12h ago
  • 0xd12f…e85a BUY No $236.78 13h ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $10.80 14h ago
  • 0xcceb…f030 SELL No $46.59 14h ago
  • 0x3c3e…5a86 SELL Yes $13.10 16h ago
  • 0x2f52…9fba BUY Yes $25.00 16h ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 BUY No $14.60 16h ago
  • 0xd12f…e85a BUY No $2784.00 16h ago
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY No $51.00 Jul 27
  • 0x3afe…fd59 BUY Yes $22.62 Jul 27
  • 0x3afe…fd59 BUY Yes $34.82 Jul 27
  • 0x8a21…fec3 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 26
  • 0x2a21…d26a BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 25
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $11.00 Jul 25
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $2.76 Jul 25
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $20.24 Jul 25
  • 0xbada…d874 SELL No $31.54 Jul 24
  • 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 24
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $2.50 Jul 24
  • 0x8a21…fec3 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 24
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $17.56 Jul 23
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $39.13 Jul 23
  • 0x2a21…d26a BUY Yes $3.75 Jul 23
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $31.49 Jul 23
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 23
  • 0xcd96…11a3 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 23
  • 0xe53c…e569 BUY No $30.16 Jul 23
  • 0xe53c…e569 BUY Yes $24.01 Jul 23
  • 0x4708…9580 SELL No $0.34 Jul 23
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $3.78 Jul 22
  • 0xf17d…6f86 BUY No $3.78 Jul 22
  • 0xf17d…6f86 BUY Yes $3.01 Jul 22
  • 0xf17d…6f86 BUY No $3.78 Jul 22
  • 0xf17d…6f86 BUY Yes $3.01 Jul 22
  • 0x94d8…37e6 BUY Yes $87.00 Jul 22
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lambda's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

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