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Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

Politics Vol. $897,804 50 traders

December 310%
March 310%
November 300%
September 3020%
$897,804 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

7
Chance
May 31 Resolved
0%
September 30
20%
December 31
56% ▲ 5
November 30 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
December 31 Resolved
0%
March 31 Resolved
0% ▲ 5
April 30 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x073e…8416 SELL No $13.13 16h ago
  • 0xb26c…0eb0 BUY Yes $136.98 16h ago
  • 0x1614…fdc0 BUY Yes $3.03 Jul 26
  • 0xd823…12fe SELL No $5.10 Jul 26
  • 0xe8c4…ea5c SELL No $10.20 Jul 26
  • 0xb26c…0eb0 BUY Yes $24.50 Jul 26
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $20.10 Jul 26
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $20.40 Jul 26
  • 0xf7ec…e53a SELL No $14.40 Jul 26
  • 0xb26c…0eb0 BUY Yes $339.53 Jul 26
  • 0xb904…00dd BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $183.20 Jul 25
  • 0xf2a6…24b8 BUY Yes $50.16 Jul 25
  • 0xd38f…bf78 SELL No $2.95 Jul 24
  • 0xd10a…b9cd SELL No $2.95 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $4.93 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $2.90 Jul 24
  • 0x0dea…f9cd BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 24
  • 0x0dea…f9cd BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 24
  • 0x1614…fdc0 SELL Yes $1.39 Jul 21
  • 0x21ff…0d71 SELL No $23.24 Jul 20
  • 0xb34b…5d0e SELL Yes $4.37 Jul 20
  • 0x8e4f…4594 SELL Yes $90.54 Jul 19
  • 0x7028…e0e9 SELL No $1.66 Jul 19
  • 0xf2a6…24b8 BUY Yes $41.67 Jul 18
  • 0xf6a1…e373 SELL Yes $2.03 Jul 18
  • 0xb34b…5d0e SELL Yes $3.24 Jul 17
  • 0xf6a1…e373 BUY Yes $2.18 Jul 17
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $33.20 Jul 16
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $4.30 Jul 16
  • 0x7216…cb34 BUY Yes $31.15 Jul 16
  • 0x1c19…09b2 BUY No $1.00 Jul 15
  • 0xb34b…5d0e SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 14
  • 0x1431…a949 SELL No $22.80 Jul 13
  • 0xb34b…5d0e SELL Yes $40.44 Jul 12
  • 0x489a…fff2 SELL Yes $2.20 Jul 12
  • 0xb003…97e1 SELL Yes $0.85 Jul 12
  • 0x183c…0178 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 11
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL Yes $22.59 Jul 11
  • 0xb003…97e1 BUY Yes $16.04 Jul 11

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Vovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If the territory of municipality is shaded light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Vovchanski Khutory" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Vovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pEumzu6kdCPQ2sYt7 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Comments

Quilty Mar 25

Zelensky a coked up loser, Russias gone execute him but until then they leave him, better a retard rule ukraine than remove him and get someone competent

pizzaslice Mar 30

womp womp 72 hours to take the capital

Quilty Mar 30

in your fantasy

IgorBgd Feb 27

ISW and Polymarket are Russophobes )))))

cidesui77 Mar 20

as all normal people

Quilty Mar 25

no only incels stuck in front of MSM are Russophobes, real niggas want ukraine to be destroyed and EVERBODY can see zelensky a coked up loser

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 14

Huliapole is an even better example. An infiltrated confetti of land is enough for the market to resolve to NO.

Run4ik Feb 15

You’re right

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 15

such an unusual reply for a ukraine map polymarket chat

Run4ik Feb 16

I bought “yes” for huliaipole, after 20-30 min how isw showed this city captured. Now you know what we have =) .

Run4ik Feb 16

You make good job on poly. How we can discuss any idea?

IgorBgd Feb 27

ISW and Polymarket are in cahoots. The former is painting the city's property late, while the latter is not following its own established rules and is declaring: "not all markets will have a black and white resolution"

jasonisanidiot Feb 11

You all don't seem to understand that this has nothing to do with the news or reports. There's no way ISW will shade all necessary spots by the resolution date. You can see it in Pokrovsk's north. It'll happen again in Vovchansk's south.

Tiresiass Feb 9

Zelensky have said that Vovchansk will never fall and still under ukranian control.

temarussian Feb 10

Yet another dumbass who thinks his meaningless posts move the price

Tiresiass Feb 10

you already sold all your NOs, so yes my post moves the price

temarussian Feb 10

Too bad you’re not just pretending to be an idiot - you actually are one

Tiresiass Feb 10

yes but you sold all your bag thanks to me, thanks first, cry later

Tiresiass Feb 5

come on NOtards I need tu fill my bags! Putin allways loose

temarussian Feb 7

your bags are full of debts

Tiresiass Feb 9

buy more NO please, only 272? come on Slava Ukraine

temarussian Feb 10

Did you hear me say somewhere that I think he won’t be captured?

leCommissaire Feb 4

GG. This market is next after Myrnohrad

Tiresiass Jan 21

NO's in desbelief, we have more than 2 months to confirm something that already happened a month ago, free money here

Dankwizart420 Feb 3

I trade human delusions personally

Tiresiass Feb 4

buy more no's please

jasonisanidiot Jan 20

don't overreact to the ISW update, it's not happening

0xB497aa3bF2422876b76074CC73f6396e81D4542E-1764721449142 Jan 3

ISW is a scam. Dont rely on it

Skovorodnikov Dec 26

The Russians don't need this city; they'll give it to the xoxlam anyway)))

Finalyty Dec 26

lol, it was captured long time ago

OtaBenga Dec 28

Gerasimov told you just like he told putin?

KotDimuar Dec 28

lmao, even deepstate colored it

temarussian Dec 23

need january and february

Pj95 Dec 16

Any recent news?

Dantus Dec 11

Volchansk front. The "Sever" volunteer group has taken full control of the settlements of Liman and Prilivka. Heavy bombings in Vovchanski Khutory, Russians are expected to capture it by the next days

leCommissaire Dec 11

retarded

Dantus Dec 11

chill lol

Dudagg Dec 11

Yeah until this month russian ministry of defence statements were always true about captured [link removed] with Pokrovsk and Vovchansk they didnt tell completely truth

Dantus Dec 12

they are fully captured actually, we just need geolocations and they will come.

Explorer227 Dec 15

I was previously yes holder as well, sold before you lost it all, save your last $300 bro

Dantus Dec 9

Situation north of Kharkov: During the last two days #RussianArmy took control over most of the locality of Lyman & the central part of Vilcha (following an advance from the railway). In addition, after the capture of Vovchansk Russian forces began the assault to the nearby Vovchanski Khutory.

leCommissaire Dec 9

another moron who hates money

Dantus Dec 9

lol i get why you're doing what you're doing. but my heart is not weak.

domovik Dec 10

you need to chill

Dantus Dec 9

Hold the line.

leCommissaire Dec 9

Why did I warn the YES holders in advance, try to save their money, but they didn’t listen to me? They didn’t even send me a tip.

IamBatman- Dec 9

if they don't listen to you, you can buy more no at better prices, isn't it good?

Aimar48 Dec 8

RuAF control the northern outskirts of Vilcha. 50.250931,36.944799

leCommissaire Dec 8

oh no. It's yes

Aimar48 Dec 8

?

Nardo99 Dec 8

ISW doesn't seem to care.

leCommissaire Dec 7

mkk555 won’t stop until he loses his home and all his money

leCommissaire Dec 7

beacuse mkk555 wants to give to me all his money

Dantus Dec 6

Lyman 80% captured in Kharkiv south of Volchansk. Vovchansky Khutory is next.

leCommissaire Dec 4

I can’t believe the YES holders fell for the fakes again. The Russians do not control the city. Ukrainian experts confirm that the city is under the control of the Ukrainian army.

0x95ffAD9AAEe59C180EBFE3fe45bE64d5cDAa4FEB-1763571999847 Dec 4

How Ukrainian experts stating that city is Ukrainian are any more trustworthy than Russian experts stating it’s under Russian control? 😄

found.alpha Dec 4

experts can say whatever. There are videos of Russians rescuing families from the city

CompulsiveGambler Dec 5

No holders about to 'rescue' the 75 dollars you spent on those shares

fylt Dec 6

Videos of Russians “rescuing families” from the Southern part of the city? 😆 Enlighten me where I can watch those.

Nardo99 Dec 7

What can you see that others don't?