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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Politics Vol. $8,502,569 170 traders

December 31, 202692%
December 310%
March 31, 20260%
August 310%
$8,502,569 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

16
Chance
May 31, 2026 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
September 30, 2026
86% ▲ 9
August 31 Resolved
0%
December 31 Resolved
0%
October 31 Resolved
0%
July 31, 2026
7% ▼ 5
September 30 Resolved
0%
August 31, 2026
56% ▼ 3
July 19, 2026 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
November 30 Resolved
0%
March 31, 2026 Resolved
0% ▲ 3
December 31, 2026
92% ▲ 2
January 31, 2026 Resolved
0%
February 28, 2026 Resolved
0%
June 30, 2026 Resolved
0% ▼ 5
April 30, 2026 Resolved
0% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x955b…a747 BUY No $15.00 26m ago
  • 0x06c7…3553 BUY Yes $1.00 35m ago
  • 0x84d4…77a9 SELL Yes $0.07 39m ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $0.90 39m ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $59.92 51m ago
  • 0x84d4…77a9 SELL Yes $0.23 54m ago
  • 0x215a…254c SELL Yes $2.70 54m ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $2.95 54m ago
  • 0x215a…254c SELL Yes $6.95 1h ago
  • 0x9901…6046 BUY No $185.60 1h ago
  • 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY No $17.25 1h ago
  • 0x9209…b4d5 BUY No $1.94 2h ago
  • 0xecfa…3c6f BUY No $191.50 2h ago
  • 0x7727…15a4 BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
  • 0x7727…15a4 SELL Yes $6.59 2h ago
  • 0x6b44…be1e SELL No $90.47 3h ago
  • 0x6a9c…cc3d BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x215a…254c SELL Yes $43.00 3h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $77.41 3h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $78.95 3h ago
  • 0xfc92…27c9 BUY Yes $34.27 3h ago
  • 0xfc92…27c9 BUY Yes $8.13 3h ago
  • 0xd849…59d6 BUY Yes $1677.21 3h ago
  • 0xe086…0450 BUY Yes $50.40 3h ago
  • 0x0978…00e6 SELL No $59.22 4h ago
  • 0xac4a…bf1e SELL Yes $7.38 5h ago
  • 0xa832…abf8 SELL No $1.54 5h ago
  • 0xf020…5b54 BUY Yes $1.00 5h ago
  • 0x8521…af6b BUY Yes $50.00 8h ago
  • 0x3ec3…125e SELL No $0.77 10h ago
  • 0xf020…5b54 BUY Yes $1.00 10h ago
  • 0xd849…59d6 BUY Yes $344.40 10h ago
  • 0xd849…59d6 BUY Yes $113.94 10h ago
  • 0x2f88…0111 BUY Yes $50.32 11h ago
  • 0xe041…be79 BUY No $152.00 12h ago
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $0.94 12h ago
  • 0x7d58…462d SELL Yes $39.50 12h ago
  • 0xceca…3f67 SELL Yes $277.75 12h ago
  • 0xceca…3f67 BUY No $46.35 12h ago
  • 0xceca…3f67 BUY No $4.58 12h ago

This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.

Comments

goto1m 2h ago

Veni, vidi, sucked

JoeBlack01 2h ago

@temarussian   да закрасят пол города за раз, как покровск, в любой момент. но на июль брать конечно была ошибкой

Kixn 10h ago

ISW painted a big red schlong on the southwest today, train station hopefully tomorrow

pink.impala Jul 28

They giving a way our money to shitty project ukraine, they stealing our money and send clown what a failure it is project ukraine

pink.impala Jul 28

Why should i have to pay for these corrupt scum, unraine truly a failure

SadMax1 Jul 27

@znotluvuisamez is also out

0xa0bDa37A1A4278c54cb0e190711d45d1Fb2527A1-1780151718805 Jul 27

A day has already passed, and there's still no solution. Or am I missing something?

ProxyOne Jul 27

“Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Kixn Jul 27

hopefully shaded red in the next day or two

tsybka Jul 26

lionloserlionloserlionloser is about to lose

tsybka Jul 26

game over

Danya.Savin Jul 25

Должно быть легко🏴

Kixn Jul 23

what a joke, ISW is so quick to paint splotches of blue around but ignore the reality and resist painting any red at all no matter how obvious it is

AuthenticDemigod Jul 22

Pretty safe money, from my perspective..

SadMax1 Jul 20

Too rich for my blood 🖖

SadMax1 Jul 20

Too rich for

rafael7 Jul 20

Loser sold

SadMax1 Jul 20

Yupp

SadMax1 Jul 20

I'll advice against copy-trading me btw. I just wanted to enjoy the summer without worrying about a Ukrainian counter-attack. I guess I'm made to be a peasant, not a soldier.

Vv7777777 Jul 26

Рафаель ты ли это?)

rafael7 Jul 27

Чиа будет 1000$

abdoohl Jul 15

The Defense Forces have made significant advances in one of the areas. It was not easy. This was achieved thanks to the skill of the soldiers and the clear planning of the commanders. As I mentioned before, but I will repeat, in some parts of the operation, there were zero casualties. In others, there were losses of 1 to 8 enemy soldiers. I will still wait for an official statement. But believe me, you will be amazed, just like I am right now 😎

0x720Aaf4b99854c5D5a0e618eE733D395cbAdaa3f-1783197974481 Jul 16

Thanks for inside info!

abdoohl Jul 16

np man i found it on internet

abdoohl Jul 16

not even sure its about Kostantinovka TBH

XIXI7IXIX Jul 16

😂😂😂

0x720Aaf4b99854c5D5a0e618eE733D395cbAdaa3f-1783197974481 Jul 17

Not funny, I'm minus 3.17% in a single day

ragutwo Jul 17

Hes a Russian troll

0x720Aaf4b99854c5D5a0e618eE733D395cbAdaa3f-1783197974481 Jul 18

but I think I'm winning?

ragutwo Jul 18

yup, good job

pink.impala Jul 15

The land of Ukronazis and Ukrowhores are STEALING MY MONEY

pink.impala Jul 15

Project Ukraine such a failure, why should i have to pay for these corrupt scum

pink.impala Jul 15

WATCH: In Lvov, a TCC employee attempted to carefully and discreetly strangle a woman who tried to prevent a man from being mobilized.

The-Last-Degen Jul 14

tsybka farmed his followers again check his transactions

SadMax1 Jul 19

nuh, all legit

abdoohl Jul 14

There are hints pointing to the fact that it will soon be possible to gradually reveal recent Ukrainian successes in Kostantinovka. Unfortunately the bulk of the work is still ongoing on the part of the Ukrainians, but some things will likely be shown soon

abdoohl Jul 14

Is they gonna paint their map today guys what do you think?

tsybka Jul 14

While the idiots keep trying to take shots at me, my pnl just keeps growing exponentially🤣 So keep talking about me - it only boosts my reach and brings in more followers🥳

The-Last-Degen Jul 14

Boosts your follower count so you can farm them some more

tsybka Jul 14

You forgot to switch back from your alt account.

LiquidatedDegen Jul 13

Can you imagine listening to TSYBKA's calls when he bet 1500 on Connor McGregor??? 🤣🤣🤣

CoachesDontPlay Jul 14

u bet on him too lol

SadMax1 Jul 14

I only have good experience from not listening to Tsybka. I totally took his money in the Hryshyne market. My advice is follow your heart, don't get distracted by his PNL.

tsybka Jul 14

Lol, you're so dumb you completely missed the point. In the long run, you'll end up losing money.

SadMax1 Jul 15

Kinda trolled you there. I hold your views in highest esteem, although, of course, I don't always find it agreeable to copy-cat you. Cheers

abdoohl Jul 13

Kostyantynivka, nothing particularly new lately. The Russians continue attempts to consolidate and, especially, infiltrate; the Ukrainians continue to defend and work with different fire methods. And for the thousandth time, no, the Russians haven't occupied the city at all.

VatnikPride Jul 13

Not a cope comment at all.

Kixn Jul 13

the Ukrainian blue is gone from the train station, they might as well paint it red tomorrow

abdoohl Jul 13

you might as well buy yes then

Kixn Jul 13

I would but I lost all my money on the bitcoin market

XIXI7IXIX Jul 13

😂😂😂

SadMax1 Jul 13

I heard that market is tough. You are up against institutional players, basically

abdoohl Jul 12

WTF why its going up??

rafael7 Jul 12

You’ll find out soon enough.

abdoohl Jul 12

cant wait to see your profile on TrackAColombianMerc

SubashChandraBose Jul 12

@temarussian came after all this time just to burn 5k

ForSale Jul 12

no human areas

tsybka Jul 12

fortress is falling... not good news.

anotherpatrick Jul 12

not so easy

pink.impala Jul 11

Fuck Ukraine with a sick dick!