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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Military Strikes Vol. $49,018,459 980 traders

Yes24%
No77%
$49,018,459 Vol. Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24% ▲ 2

Recent trades

25
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $498.51 2m ago
  • 0x3387…c3f7 SELL No $1.30 2m ago
  • 0xa247…7175 SELL Yes $460.00 2m ago
  • 0xad06…b912 BUY Yes $4.80 6m ago
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $77.00 19m ago
  • 0x3387…c3f7 SELL No $0.13 19m ago
  • 0x6538…9392 BUY No $154.00 19m ago
  • 0x86a6…1b3e BUY Yes $130.00 21m ago
  • 0x4109…ad6b SELL No $380.00 22m ago
  • 0x1f2c…15a9 BUY Yes $1.06 47m ago
  • 0x1f2c…15a9 BUY Yes $8.50 51m ago
  • 0xb66a…ed3d BUY Yes $1.00 54m ago
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $25.00 1h ago
  • 0x257a…57d2 BUY No $50.00 1h ago
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $3.84 1h ago
  • 0x7c1c…ea1d BUY No $7.70 1h ago
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $14.99 1h ago
  • 0xdae8…15f8 BUY No $30.00 1h ago
  • 0x1fde…c8db BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0x5aac…06f7 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xad65…8c6b BUY Yes $5.00 1h ago
  • 0xf904…651f BUY No $3.85 1h ago
  • 0x85dc…0889 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
  • 0x60bd…45b1 BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $1.86 3h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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